|

Forex Today: Focus shifts to BoE, USD stabilizes after inflation data

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 11:

Following the slide seen with the initial reaction to April inflation data on Wednesday, the US Dollar Index stages a rebound early Thursday. The Bank of England (BoE) will announce monetary policy decisions later in the day and Governor Andrew Bailey will comment on the policy outlook and respond to questions from the press. April Producer Price Index (PPI) and weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be featured in the US economic docket. 

Bank of England Preview: Bailey to break Pound's rally with reluctance to raise rates further.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Wednesday that annual inflation in the US, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), edged lower to 4.9% in April from 5% in March, compared to the market expectation of 5%. US Treasury bond yields turned south after inflation data and the benchmark 10-year yield snapped a four-day winning streak and lost more than 2% on the day. In turn, the US Dollar Index closed in negative territory. Mixed market mood, however, helped the USD stay resilient against its rivals in the late American session.

During the Asian trading hours on Thursday, monthly CPI in China decreased 0.1% in April, brining the rate of annual change down to 0.1% from 0.7% in March. Meanwhile, the data from Australia revealed that the Consumer Inflation Expectations climbed to 5% in May from 4.6% in April, matching the market expectation. AUD/USD stays on the back foot early Thursday and trades near 0.6750.

The BoE is widely expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% following the May policy meeting. The BoE will also release its revised projections for growth and inflation. Market participants will pay close attention to the vote split and comments from Bailey regarding additional rate increase in the near future. GBP/USD closed virtually unchanged for the second straight day on Wednesday and trades in a tight channel at around 1.2600 ahead of the event. 

Bank of England Preview: A risk event for the GBP/USD rally.

EUR/USD registered small daily gains on Wednesday but failed to reclaim 1.1000. As market participants assess the latest remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) officials, the pair stays in negative territory at around 1.0950.

Gold price spiked to the $2,050 area after US inflation data but failed to preserve its bullish momentum. XAU/USD stays indecisive near $2,030 early Thursday.

Pressured by falling US yields, USD/JPY lost nearly 100 pips on Wednesday before going into a consolidation phase slightly above 134.00 early Thursday. The Bank of Japan's Summary of Opinions for April meeting reiterated that they must continue the current easy policy given uncertainty over global outlook.

Bitcoin fluctuated in a wide range on Wednesday but ended up closing the day flat below $28,000. BTC/USD edges lower toward $27,500 early Thursday. Ethereum gained traction in the early American session but failed to cling to its recovery gains on Wednesday. In the European morning, ETH/USD continues to stretch lower toward $1,800.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.