Forex Today: Double stimulus talk downs dollar ahead of Powell's power-play, US retail sales


Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, June 16:

The market mood is "risk-on" once again, as the Federal Reserve announced buying corporate bonds and lawmakers discuss infrastructure spending. Investors shrug off coronavirus concerns ahead of the Fed Chair's testimony and all-important retail sales.

Monetary stimulus: The Fed announced on Monday that it will buy corporate bonds as part of its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility (SMCCF). The Fed previously used the program to buy Exchange Trading Funds (ETF) and now it is going directly for bonds. The $750 billion and also includes buying new bond issuance. 

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, will testify on Capitol Hill and may refer to the program, the Fed's tools, negative interest rates and also recent economic data. Markets will watch the Retail Sales figures for May, which are set to show a rebound after tumbling in April. Uncertainty is high.

See Retail Sales Preview: Deferred consumption or cancellation?

Fiscal stimulus: President Donald Trump is reportedly looking into a $1 trillion infrastructure spending program. While the move may look like a pre-election candy, it could boost the economy. Previous administration promises about building roads have not materialized. 

Chinese second wave? Around 100 people have been confirmed to have COVID-19 in Beijing, mostly linked to a large market. Authorities have taken steps to contain the disease, including by banning residents with high risks from leaving the city. The new cluster in the capital is seen as a test for authorities in the world's second-largest economy. 

US second wave?: Coronavirus cases continue rising in around 20 US states, including large Texas and Florida. While more infections can be attributed to testing, the increase in the hit rate in these probes and rising hospitalizations indicate underlying issues. Markets have moved to focus on other topics.

Sino-American relations: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will reportedly meet his Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi. The two men are set to meet in Hawaii and may discuss Hong Kong, coronavirus, and more. Also, the US Commerce Department will reportedly allow American companies to work with Huawei on 5G standards. Better relations between Washington and Beijing may boost sentiment. 

Brexit breakthrough? Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that there is a "very good chance" or striking a deal with the EU about future relations. He held an hour-long video call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and other top officials. Details are still lacking but talks will resume on June 29. GBP/USD has bounced toward 1.27.

The UK unemployment rate remained low at 3.9% in April, but jobless claims jumped by 528.9K in May. Sterling edges lower amid the mixed data. 

EUR/USD is trading above 1.13 amid the better mood and as Europe seemingly has COVID-19 under control. The German ZEW Economic Sentiment is projected to continue its recovery. 

The Bank of Japan has left its policy unchanged as expected. The Tokyo-based institution has described the economy as increasingly being in a "severe state." USD/JPY is trading above 107, trading according to the general market mood.

AUD/USD is trading above 0.69 amid the upbeat mood. The Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting minutes reiterated the pledge to support the economy for "some time." The RBA is ready to increase bond purchases and pledged to leave rates unchanged until the economy progresses. Officials noted the Aussie's appreciation.

Gold remains confined to a narrow range of around $1,730, looking for a new direction and shrugging off the recent mood change.

WTI Crude Oil has recovered and trades around $37. Brent is closer to $40.

Cryptocurrencies have been experiencing higher volatility, tumbling early on Monday before bouncing. Bitcoin trades at around $9,500.

More Why EUR/USD may rally, where to find the key to gold move, lots more – Interview with Richard Perry

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD holds below 1.0750 ahead of key US data

EUR/USD trades in a tight range below 1.0750 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar struggles to gather strength ahead of key PCE Price Index data, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, and helps the pair hold its ground. 

EUR/USD News

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after BoJ Governor Ueda's comments

USD/JPY stays firm above 156.00 after surging above this level on the Bank of Japan's decision to leave the policy settings unchanged. BoJ Governor said weak Yen was not impacting prices but added that they will watch FX developments closely.

USD/JPY News

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price oscillates in a range as the focus remains glued to the US PCE Price Index

Gold price struggles to attract any meaningful buyers amid the emergence of fresh USD buying. Bets that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer amid sticky inflation help revive the USD demand.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

US core PCE inflation set to signal firm price pressures as markets delay Federal Reserve rate cut bets

The core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is seen as the more influential measure of inflation in terms of Fed positioning. The index is forecast to rise 0.3% on a monthly basis in March, matching February’s increase. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures