|

Forex Today: Dollar steadies for now as investors eye US inflation data

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, January 12:

The greenback faced renewed selling pressure in the second half of the day on Tuesday as FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell adopted a cautious tone with regards to policy outlook. Following a 0.4% decline, the US Dollar Index seems to have steadied around mid-95s as investors await December Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US. November Industrial Production data will be featured in the European economic docket as well.

US Inflation Preview: Dizzying heights of 7% would cement a March hike, supercharge the dollar.

During his confirmation hearing before the Senate, Powell said that they need to focus more on the inflation goal than the maximum employment goal and reiterated that they expect price pressures to last well into 2022. On policy outlook, Powell said that the economy doesn't need a highly accommodative policy but he noted that they would need several meetings to come up with a plan on how they will reduce the balance sheet. “At some point perhaps later this year we will start to allow the balance sheet to run off, and that’s just the road to normalizing policy," Powell explained.

Powell's less-hawkish-than-expected comments triggered a rally in US stock markets and the S&P 500 gained nearly 1%. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield, which reached its highest level above 1.8% earlier in the week, closed in the negative territory on Tuesday and was last seen posting small daily losses at 1.73%. Nevertheless, the CME Group FedWatch Tool shows that there is only a 25% chance of the Fed leaving its policy rate unchanged in March. In the meantime, US stocks futures indexes are up 0.15% and 0.25%, suggesting that the market mood could remain upbeat in the American session.

EUR/USD climbed toward the upper limit of its six-week-old range near 1.1380 and stays relatively quiet around that level early Wednesday.

GBP/USD extended its rally and reached its strongest level in more than two months above 1.3640 in the early European session on Wednesday. 

USD/JPY managed to shake off the bearish pressure despite falling US Treasury bond yields on Wednesday as the improving risk sentiment made it difficult for the JPY to find demand. The pair was last seen posting small daily gains near 115.30.

Gold capitalized on declining US T-bond yields and gained more than 1% on a daily basis on Wednesday. XAU/USD seems to have gone into a consolidation phase around $1,820 and the pair is likely to remain sensitive to fluctuations in yields.

The risk-positive market environment helped cryptocurrencies find demand and Bitcoin gained more than 2% before turning quiet around $43,000 on Wednesday. Similarly, Ethereum rose nearly 5% and holds its ground above $3,200 so far.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD struggles to reclaim 1.3300 ahead of Fed rate call

GBP/USD trades marginally lower on the day below 1.3300 following a short-lasting recovery attempt in the early European session. The pair finds it difficult to gain traction as the US Dollar stays resilient against its major rivals ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Meanwhile, renewed escalation in the Middle East and surging Oil prices weigh on market mood.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1400 ahead of Fed policy decision

EUR/USD oscillates in a narrow range below 1.1400 on Wednesday. The pair struggles to gain traction as the US Dollar benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere amid a deepening crisis in the Middle East. Investors keenly await the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision for fresh directional impetus.

Gold retreats toward $4,000 as focus shifts to FOMC

Gold stays on the back foot midweek and declines toward $4,000 after losing more than 1% on Tuesday. Escalating tensions in the Middle East make it difficult for the precious metal to hold its ground, while investors gear for the Federal Reserve's highly-anticipated interest rate announcement.

Bitcoin slips below support, Ethereum and XRP flash bearish signals

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday after a mild correction earlier this week. BTC slips below a key support zone, and ETH is testing a key resistance zone. Meanwhile, XRP is drifting toward the psychologically important $1.00 support level.

South Korean Won nears four-month highs despite the KOSPI index selloff
The South Korean Won (KRW) extends gains for the second consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD), and is set for a 6.5% monthly rally. Strong South Korean macroeconomic data and market expectations of monetary tightening by the Bank of Korea have offset the KOSPI Index’s sell-off.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.