Forex Today: Dollar extends rebound, eyes on EU inflation, US jobs data


Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 1:

The negative shift witnessed in risk sentiment amid escalating geopolitical tensions helped the greenback gather strength against its rivals on Thursday. The US Dollar Index continues to push higher early Friday as focus shifts to inflation data from the euro area and the US March jobs report. The US economic docket will also feature the ISM's Manufacturing PMI survey. Market participants will continue to keep a close eye on developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict ahead of the weekend. 

Nonfarm Payrolls March Preview: How long can plentiful jobs defray the dangers of inflation?

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Thursday that buyers of Russian gas "must open rouble accounts in Russian banks" to execute purchases from April 1. "If such payments are not made, we will consider this a default on the part of buyers, with all the ensuing consequences," warned Putin in a televised speech. Following this development, Russia's foreign ministry said that they will respond if the European Union were to impose sanctions.

In the meantime, the US announced late Thursday that they have decided to impose additional sanctions targeting the Russian technology sector. Wall Street's three main indexes lost more than 1% on Thursday but US stock index futures are trading flat early Friday. 

Crude oil prices fell sharply on Thursday following the OPEC meeting and the US' decision to release strategic oil reserves to ease pressures on energy prices. Later in the day, the International Energy Agency (IEA) will hold an emergency meeting to discuss a possible release of its strategic reserves. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI), which fell nearly 6% on Thursday, was last seen losing nearly 2% on the day at $99.20.

OPEC+ agrees on 432K BPD output quota hike in May as expected, next meeting to be held on May 5.

EUR/USD lost more than 100 pips on Thursday and stays on the back foot near 1.1050 early Friday. Inflation in the euro area, as measured by the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is expected to rise to 6.6% on a yearly basis in March from 5.9% in February.

GBP/USD closed virtually unchanged on Thursday and continues to move sideways above 1.3100 in the European morning.

Gold advanced toward $1,950 on Thursday but erased a large portion of its daily gains before closing below $1,940. XAU/USD stays under modest bearish pressure on Friday with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield staging a rebound following a three-day drop.

US March Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Analyzing gold's reaction to NFP surprises.

USD/JPY reversed its direction and rose toward 122.50 on Friday after closing the previous three days deep in negative territory.

Bitcoin fell sharply amid risk aversion on Thursday and extended its slide early Friday. BTC/USD was last seen losing more than 1% on the day below $45,000. Ethereum lost 3% on Thursday and continues to edge lower toward $3,200.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures