|

Forex Today: Brexit, recession, and “impactful and significant” stimulus

Here is what you need to know on Monday, September 2nd:

 - EUR/USD below 1.1000, despite US data, failed to impress. Comments from ECB’s top official Olli Rehn smashed the EUR as opposed to what Knot said earlier in the week, he said that the central bank should come up with an “impactful and significant” stimulus package in its September meeting, that should exceed investor’s expectations.

- A new round of U.S. tariffs on some Chinese goods is scheduled to take effect on Sunday. Risk-off could take over.

- Over the weekend, Michael Gove, the UK minister in charge of planning for no-deal, insisted that there would be no food shortages in the UK in the case of a hard Brexit, but refused to rule out the possibility that the government could ignore any law passed by parliament to stop a no-deal Brexit, outraging MPs from both sides. Brexit jitters likely to keep Sterling pressured.

 - China released the August NBS Manufacturing PMI which fell to 49.5 down from 49.7 previously, and the Non-Manufacturing PMI which improved to 53.8 from 53.7 previously, beating the market’s expectations. China will publish the Caixin Manufacturing PMI, foreseen at 49.8 from 49.9.

- Oil prices came under pressure after the Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said that the country’s oil output cuts in August would be slightly below those agreed with OPEC+.

 - Gold eased on a better market mood, held above 1,500 as fears about a global economic downturn prevail in the background.

 - Cryptocurrencies remained depressed throughout the weekend.

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).