|

Eurozone rates to remain higher for longer than markets anticipate – Nataxis

Nataxis research is out with a note detailing how long-running supply and demand imbalances in the Eurozone are going to keep rates higher for longer than most markets are currently expecting.

The state of supply and demand for goods and services in the eurozone

In the recent period (since the start of 2023), insufficient demand has been cited more as a factor limiting the eurozone's industrial production. But if we look at services, construction and the eurozone economy as a whole, it is still massively in a situation of excess deman for goods services, and labour, with insufficient supply.

Restrictive monetary policy has not yet caused the eurozone to return to a situation of excess supply of goods and services.

As long as the eurozone is in a state of excess demand for goods and services, inflation will be higher than financial markets expect.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1700 amid cautious markets

EUR/USD is holding steady below 1.1700 in the European trading hours on Thursday. The pair pauses its losing streak as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery amid a cautious market mood and ahead of the mid-tier US employment data. 

GBP/USD turns lower to near 1.3450 amid softer risk tone

GBP/USD loses ground to trade near 1.3450 in the early European session on Thursday. Markets turn cautious amid simmering geopolitical tensions and ahead of the US labor market data due later in the day. 

Gold selling pressure persists as traders lock in profits ahead of US NFP report

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day and slides back closer to the overnight swing low during the Asian session on Thursday. The downtick lacks any fundamental catalyst and is likely to remain limited amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Pi Network flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders. The technical outlook for the PI token remains bearish, with a risk of a cross below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average. 

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI flashes bearish potential as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network trades above $0.2000 at press time on Thursday, following a nearly 2% decline the previous day. Centralized Exchanges have received 1.90 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours, suggesting risk-off sentiment among holders.