|

EUR/USD upside faltered ahead of 1.0980

  • The daily upside in ERU/USD lost momentum near 1.0980.
  • The dollar regains some poise following session lows.
  • Final March CPIs in Euroland, German IFO take centre stage this week.

Following the earlier advance to the 1.0980 region, EUR/USD has now lose some momentum and recedes to the 1.0930 area.

EUR/USD focused on data, coronavirus

EUR/USD is looking to add to recent gains at the beginning of the week, managing well to keep business above 1.0900 the figure against the backdrop of thin trade conditions due to the Easter Monday holiday in many European markets.

In the meantime, developments from the COVID-19 keep ruling the global sentiment amidst efforts in some countries to relax some lockdown measures in favour of the gradual re-start of the economic activity.

Nothing scheduled data-wise on both sides of the Atlantic on Monday, while US Retail Sales, Initial Claims, Industrial Production figures, the German IFO and final inflation figures for the month of March in the euro bloc will all be published later in the week.

What to look for around EUR

The euro is extending the upside on Monday amidst low volatility and thin trade conditions due to the Easter holidays. On the macro view, recent better-than-expected results in fundamentals in both Germany and the broader Euroland opened the door to some respite in the prevailing downtrend in fundamentals, although the underlying stance still remains well on the negative side. In addition, the recent Eurogroup agreement helped to alleviate some political effervescence among some state members, underpinning further the upbeat momentum in the single currency.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.01% at 1.0931 and a break above 1.0967 (weekly high Apr.13) would target 1.0973 (55-day SMA) en route to 1.0992 (monthly low Jan.29). On the other hand, immediate contention emerges at 1.0814 (78.6% Fibo of the 2017-2018 rally) seconded by 1.0768 (monthly low Apr.6) and finally 1.0635 (2020 low Mar.20).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Bitcoin has found or is near a bottom, extended consolidation to follow: K33

Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing or has already established a bottom, which could be followed by a sustained period of slow price movement, according to K33.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.