EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish view unchanged. Door open for a visit to YTD low at 1.1299

The pair is now seeing some recovery after dropping to the 1.1380 area on Wednesday, managing to regain the 1.1400 barrier and above.
Further downside should see the critical 200-week SMA tested at 1.1319, considered the last defense of a probable test of 2018 low at 1.1299 (August 15).
On the flip side, occasional bullish attempts should meet strong resistance in the 1.1493/1.1520 band, where converge the 10-day SMA, May 29 low and the 21-day SMA.

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview:
    Last Price: 1.1415
    Daily change: -1.2e+2 pips
    Daily change: -1.01%
    Daily Open: 1.1531
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.1571
    Daily SMA50: 1.1584
    Daily SMA100: 1.1623
    Daily SMA200: 1.1909
Levels:
    Daily High: 1.154
    Daily Low: 1.1531
    Weekly High: 1.1622
    Weekly Low: 1.1433
    Monthly High: 1.1816
    Monthly Low: 1.1526
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.1496
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.1472
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.1453
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.1392
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.1351
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1555
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.1596
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.1657

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

AUD/USD bounces off nearly two-month low; upside seems limited

AUD/USD rebounds from its lowest level since April 13, touched during the Asian session on Monday, as the US Dollar pauses following Friday's upbeat US NFP-led blowout rally to a two-month high. However, persistent geopolitical uncertainties, along with surging bets on Fed rate hikes, might continue to act as a tailwind for the USD. Furthermore, diminishing odds of a near-term RBA rate hike should cap gains for the Aussie.

USD/JPY bulls seem hesitant amid intervention fears

USD/JPY touches a fresh high since late April following an Asian session dip, though intervention fears limit losses for the Japanese Yen (JPY) and cap the upside. This counters Japan’s revised GDP print, which confirmed that the economy lost momentum in the first quarter. Meanwhile, Friday's upbeat US NFP report lifted bets of a Fed rate hike and favors the US Dollar bulls, backing the case for a further move higher for the currency pair.

Gold recovers slightly from the $4,300 neighborhood; not out of the woods yet

Gold attracts some buyers at the start of a new week and reverses part of Friday's decline to its lowest since March 24, around the $4,300 mark. The US Dollar pauses after Friday’s upbeat US NFP-led blowout rally to a two-month high and supports the bullion. However, a surge in bets on a Fed rate hike, along with geopolitical uncertainties, favors USD bulls. The backs the case for the emergence of fresh sellers around the precious metal at higher levels.

Week ahead: Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

The countdown to the biggest event of the year so far, the first Fed meeting under Chair Warsh on June 17, has officially commenced. Next week’s key events could serve as the best appetizer for Warsh’s first press conference, although market participants will probably be distracted by developments elsewhere.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.