|

EUR/USD technical analysis: 50% Fib capping upside, bearish hammer on D1

  • EUR/USD's bounce seems to have stalled at a key Fibonacci level. 
  • Wednesday's hammer candle is warning of an impending bearish move. 

EUR/USD's recovery rally from recent lows below 1.10 has stalled around the key Fibonacci level and a pullback could be in the offing.

The currency pair has repeatedly failed to beat 1.1082 – 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1175/1.10989 – in the last three days.

More importantly, EUR/USD created a bearish hammer candle on Wednesday, warning of an impending bearish move.

The combination of persistent failure at the key level and bearish candlestick pattern indicates the market will likely test dip demand with a pullback to 1.1050. Acceptance below that level would validate Wednesday's bearish hammer and shift risk in favor of a re-test of the recent low of 1.0989.

A bullish revival needs a close above 1.1082 (50% Fib + hammer's high). The pair is currently trading at 1.1078, representing marginal gains on the day.

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1078
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.1074
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1078
Daily SMA501.1044
Daily SMA1001.1091
Daily SMA2001.1176
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1082
Previous Daily Low1.1052
Previous Weekly High1.1058
Previous Weekly Low1.0989
Previous Monthly High1.118
Previous Monthly Low1.0879
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1064
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1071
Daily Pivot Point S11.1057
Daily Pivot Point S21.104
Daily Pivot Point S31.1027
Daily Pivot Point R11.1087
Daily Pivot Point R21.11
Daily Pivot Point R31.1116

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.