|

EUR/USD slides closer to Friday’s post-NFP swing low, just above 1.1200 handle

  • A modest USD pullback helped regain some traction on Monday.
  • Dismal Euro-zone data prompts some fresh selling at higher levels.
  • Coeure's comments exert some additional pressure in the last hour.

 Having touched an intraday high level of 1.1235, the EUR/USD pair met with some fresh supply and has now moved back within the striking distance of Friday's post-NFP swing low.

With investors looking past Friday's upbeat headline US NFP print, a modest US Dollar pullback - led by the US President Donald Trump's fresh criticism about the Fed's policy tightening, helped the pair to gain some positive traction at the start of a new trading week. 

The shared currency, however, failed to capitalize on the move, rather started losing ground following the release of Euro-zone July Sentix investor confidence, which fell to -5.8 - the weakest level since November 2014 and highlighted that a German recession is looming. 

Meanwhile, the latest leg of a downtick over the past hour or so followed the ECB Governing Council member Benoit Coeure's comments, saying that accommodative policy is needed "more than ever" and that they could restart the asset purchases program if needed.

However, absent relevant market moving economic releases from the US might help limit any further downside for the major, though a sustained breakthrough the 1.1200 handle now seems to open the room for an extension of the intraday depreciating move. 

Moving ahead, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's public appearance on Tuesday, followed by a two-day Congressional testimony on Wednesday and Thursday, along with this week's US consumer inflation figures will now play an important role in influencing the pair’s next leg of a directional move.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1218
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.1226
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1251
Daily SMA501.1221
Daily SMA1001.1261
Daily SMA2001.1351
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1289
Previous Daily Low1.1207
Previous Weekly High1.1373
Previous Weekly Low1.1207
Previous Monthly High1.1414
Previous Monthly Low1.116
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1239
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1258
Daily Pivot Point S11.1192
Daily Pivot Point S21.1159
Daily Pivot Point S31.111
Daily Pivot Point R11.1274
Daily Pivot Point R21.1323
Daily Pivot Point R31.1356

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1800 as traders brace for US PPI release

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1800 during the early Asian session on Friday. The pair steadies as softer Eurozone inflation offsets US tariff uncertainties. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Consumer Price Index from Germany on Friday for more clues about the pace of future policy easing. On the US front, the Producer Price Index report will be released. 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold remains below $5,200 despite tariff jitters and geopolitical risks

Gold is seen consolidating in a range below the $5,200 mark during the Asian session on Friday amid mixed cues. Trade jitters, along with the risk of a potential US-Iran war, act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish outlook keeps the US Dollar close to the monthly high and caps the non-yielding yellow metal. Nevertheless, the commodity remains on track to register gains for the fourth straight week, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bullish traders.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.