EUR/USD: Resilient to US Treasury Secretary's anti-risk move


  • EUR/USD trades near 1.1885 versus 1.1870 in early Asia. 
  • Mild risk-off on Mnuchin's recall of Fed funds fails to boost the dollar. 
  • Fund scarcity may force the Fed to implement more aggressive easing. 

EUR/USD consolidates on Thursday's gain in a sign of resilience to US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin's risk-destabilizing move. 

Mild risk-off

The US stock futures trade in the red as Mnuchin's call to recollect funds allocated to Federal Reserve would limit the central bank's ability to provide additional support to businesses at a time when the second wave of the coronavirus is accelerating. 

However, despite the risk-off, the EUR/USD pair keeps gains above Thursday's close of 1.1873. That's surprising as the dollar usually draws bids alongside losses in the equities

According to Reuters analysts, risk-off is not necessarily a reason to buy the haven dollar. That's because recalling funds from the Fed would leave the central bank with no options but to boost bond purchases or implement negative rates. 

The Fed has recently reiterated that it is willing to do more if needed. With the additional fiscal aid looking increasingly unlikely, the central bank may have to do the heavy lifting.

These macro factors could keep the pair better bid in Europe. The data calendar is light, and the focus would be on the German Bundesbank President Weidmann's speech, due at 13:00 GMT. Bug gains, however, may remain elusive, courtesy of the EU budget-infighting, a weak economy, and dovish European Central Bank expectations. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1884
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.04
Today daily open 1.1879
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1789
Daily SMA50 1.1775
Daily SMA100 1.1732
Daily SMA200 1.1373
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.188
Previous Daily Low 1.1816
Previous Weekly High 1.192
Previous Weekly Low 1.1746
Previous Monthly High 1.1881
Previous Monthly Low 1.164
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1856
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1841
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1837
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1794
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1772
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1901
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1923
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1965

 

 

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