|

EUR/USD resilient as US yields drop on risk-aversion

  • EUR/USD is showing resilience amid broad-based risk aversion. 
  • The dollar is struggling likely due to the losses in the treasury yields. 
  • The US 10-year yield dropped to one-month lows in Asia. 
  • Geopolitical tensions are likely to overshadow macro data releases. 

EUR/USD is hovering near 1.1165, as the US dollar is struggling to gain ground amid broad-based risk aversion and the losses in the treasury yields.

The tensions between the US and Iran escalated over the weekend with Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei promising 'severe revenge' for the US killing of Iranian general Soleimani. The nation also declared that it will no longer abide by any of the restrictions imposed by the 2015 nuclear deal.

Further, President Trump warned of retaliation if Iran attacks US personnel or assets.

The markets, therefore, have turned risk-averse, boosting demand for the classic anti-risk assets like US treasuries, gold, and Japanese yen.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to a one-month low of 1.757% in Asia and is currently seen at 1.777% – down 10 basis points on the day.

Meanwhile, Asian stocks are reporting losses with Japan's Nikkei index shedding 470 points at press time. The futures on the S&P 500 are also down 0.33%. Further, the Dax futures are down 0.63%.

As a result, the US yields, therefore, are likely to remain under pressure in Europe. The EUR is backed by a current account surplus and most Eurozone nations' government bonds are offering a negative yield. The markets, therefore, could treat the single currency as an anti-risk asset.

On the data front, the German retail sales for November and final PMI indices for December are due for release. These data sets, however, could be overshadowed by geopolitical developments.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1166
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.1162
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1135
Daily SMA501.1092
Daily SMA1001.1064
Daily SMA2001.1142
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1182
Previous Daily Low1.1124
Previous Weekly High1.1276
Previous Weekly Low1.1124
Previous Monthly High1.124
Previous Monthly Low1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1146
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.116
Daily Pivot Point S11.113
Daily Pivot Point S21.1099
Daily Pivot Point S31.1073
Daily Pivot Point R11.1187
Daily Pivot Point R21.1213
Daily Pivot Point R31.1244

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum remains fragile underneath the surface despite outperformance

Ethereum's outperformance over the past week shows it's gaining relative strength against other top cryptocurrencies, but under the surface, key metrics indicate its rise remains fragile. Between last week and Wednesday, ETH recorded double-digit gains, outperforming fellow crypto majors Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana, before the broader market began to correct on Thursday.

Cardano holds steady as Van Rossem hard fork goes live 

Cardano (ADA) stalls at $0.165 after a modest rebound in the previous week. The activation of the Van Rossem hard fork on Saturday marked Cardano’s first protocol upgrade approved entirely through onchain governance, which introduced Protocol Version 11 with improvements aimed at reducing smart contract costs.

-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.