|

EUR/USD resilient as US yields drop on risk-aversion

  • EUR/USD is showing resilience amid broad-based risk aversion. 
  • The dollar is struggling likely due to the losses in the treasury yields. 
  • The US 10-year yield dropped to one-month lows in Asia. 
  • Geopolitical tensions are likely to overshadow macro data releases. 

EUR/USD is hovering near 1.1165, as the US dollar is struggling to gain ground amid broad-based risk aversion and the losses in the treasury yields.

The tensions between the US and Iran escalated over the weekend with Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei promising 'severe revenge' for the US killing of Iranian general Soleimani. The nation also declared that it will no longer abide by any of the restrictions imposed by the 2015 nuclear deal.

Further, President Trump warned of retaliation if Iran attacks US personnel or assets.

The markets, therefore, have turned risk-averse, boosting demand for the classic anti-risk assets like US treasuries, gold, and Japanese yen.

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to a one-month low of 1.757% in Asia and is currently seen at 1.777% – down 10 basis points on the day.

Meanwhile, Asian stocks are reporting losses with Japan's Nikkei index shedding 470 points at press time. The futures on the S&P 500 are also down 0.33%. Further, the Dax futures are down 0.63%.

As a result, the US yields, therefore, are likely to remain under pressure in Europe. The EUR is backed by a current account surplus and most Eurozone nations' government bonds are offering a negative yield. The markets, therefore, could treat the single currency as an anti-risk asset.

On the data front, the German retail sales for November and final PMI indices for December are due for release. These data sets, however, could be overshadowed by geopolitical developments.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1166
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.1162
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1135
Daily SMA501.1092
Daily SMA1001.1064
Daily SMA2001.1142
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1182
Previous Daily Low1.1124
Previous Weekly High1.1276
Previous Weekly Low1.1124
Previous Monthly High1.124
Previous Monthly Low1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1146
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.116
Daily Pivot Point S11.113
Daily Pivot Point S21.1099
Daily Pivot Point S31.1073
Daily Pivot Point R11.1187
Daily Pivot Point R21.1213
Daily Pivot Point R31.1244

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in early Europe on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold seems vulnerable as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold extends the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and attracts some follow-through selling during the Asian session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling of inflationary pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.