EUR/USD: Recovery picks up steam as S&P Futures leaps to 2019 highs to weigh on USD

  • ZEW Economic Sentiment in Germany rises more than expected.
  • Risk-on flows start to dominate the market action on Tuesday.
  • US Dollar Index fails to recover above 97 ahead of mid-tier data.

The EUR/USD slumped to a session low of 1.1280 following the mixed macroeconomic data releases from the euro area and reports of the European Central Bank policymakers being sceptical about the growth projections for the second half of the year. However, with the risk appetite gathering strength in the last couple of hours, the shared currency started to erase its losses vs the greenback, lifting the pair back above the 1.13 mark. At the moment, the pair is posting small gains on the day at 1.1305.

Earlier today, citing people familiar with talks, Reuters reported that several ECB policymakers questioned the bank's projection model and voiced their doubts about the accuracy of the growth projections for the second half of 2019 and hurt the demand for the euro.

Meanwhile, today's data from Germany showed that ZEW's Economic Sentiment indicator improved to 3.1 in April from -3.6 in March to record the first positive reading in a year, which suggest that the number of "optimistic" survey participants surpassed the number of "pessimists." Similarly, the same indicator for the eurozone rose to 4.5 from -2.5 to beat the market expectation of 1.2. On the other hand, the Current Situation Index in Germany slumped to 5.5 to miss the analysts' estimate of 8.

Commenting on the ZEW's Germany figures, "The slight improvement is largely based on the hope that the global economic environment will develop less poorly than previously assumed. The postponement of the Brexit deadline may also have contributed to buoy the economic outlook,” ZEW President Achim Wambach said, as reported by Bloomberg. 

Although the ECB headlines and the mixed data didn't allow the pair to gain traction, a renewed bearish pressure on the greenback caused the pair to stage a recovery. The USD, which has been finding demand as a safe-haven since the start of the year, lost interest as the S&P 500 Futures climbed to its highest level since early October of 2018 and the 10-year T-bond yield added nearly 1% on the day to touch its best level since March 20. Hurt by the risk-on flows, the US Dollar Index failed to rebound above 97 to help the pair cling to its recovery gains.

Technical levels


Today last price 1.1305
Today Daily Change 0.0001
Today Daily Change % 0.01
Today daily open 1.1304
Daily SMA20 1.1273
Daily SMA50 1.1302
Daily SMA100 1.135
Daily SMA200 1.1447
Previous Daily High 1.1322
Previous Daily Low 1.1298
Previous Weekly High 1.1326
Previous Weekly Low 1.1213
Previous Monthly High 1.1448
Previous Monthly Low 1.1176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1307
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1312
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1293
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1284
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1269
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1317
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1331
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1341



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