|

EUR/USD rebounds above 1.0800 following sharp drop in early American session

  • German ZEW Economic Sentiment slumped to 8.8 in February vs. 21.5 expected.
  • NY Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Index rose sharply in February.
  • US Dollar Index rose toward 99.50 but lost its traction.

The EUR/USD pair came under strong selling pressure in the early trading hours of the American session and touched its lowest level since April of 2017 at 1.0786 before staging a rebound. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.0813, still down 0.2% on a daily basis.

The broad USD strength seems to have triggered the selloff. After the Federal Reserve Bank of New York announced that the headline General Business Conditions Index of the Empire State Manufacturing Survey surged to 12.9 in February to beat the market expectation of 5, the US Dollar Index (DXY) gained traction and advanced to its highest level since early October at 99.47.

However, the poor performance of the US Treasury bond yields made it difficult for the USD to preserve its bullish momentum and helped the pair recover from lows. The DXY is now steady near the 99.30 area, where it was up 0.15% on the day.

Economic sentiment continues to deteriorate in Germany

On the other hand, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index for Germany slumped to 8.7 in February from 26.7 and missed the market expectation of 21.5 by a wide margin to weigh on the shared currency. 

Commenting on the findings, "expectations regarding the development of the export-intensive sectors of the economy have dropped particularly sharply,"  said ZEW President Professor Achim Wambach. "Besides, the end of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 saw a worse-than-expected development of the German economy."

There won't be any other macroeconomic data releases from the US in the remainder of the session and the USD's market valuation is likely to continue to drive the pair's action.

Technical levels to watch for

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0811
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1.0834
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0984
Daily SMA501.1075
Daily SMA1001.1065
Daily SMA2001.1113
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0851
Previous Daily Low1.0829
Previous Weekly High1.0958
Previous Weekly Low1.0827
Previous Monthly High1.1225
Previous Monthly Low1.0992
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0843
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0838
Daily Pivot Point S11.0825
Daily Pivot Point S21.0816
Daily Pivot Point S31.0803
Daily Pivot Point R11.0847
Daily Pivot Point R21.086
Daily Pivot Point R31.0869

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rises to 1.1800 neighborhood amid renewed USD selling and trade uncertainties

The EUR/USD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday and jumps to the 1.1800 neighborhood in the last hour, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The intraday move up is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar, which continues to be weighed down by persistent trade-related uncertainties.

GBP/USD remains stronger above 1.3500 following Trump’s State of the Union

GBP/USD remains in the positive territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar remains subdued following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address of his second administration before a joint session of Congress.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid tariffs and geopolitical woes

Gold buyers are back in the game early Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.