|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Tests fresh two-decade low at 0.9540, more weakness ahead

  • EUR/USD bears are testing the waters before displaying their full strength.
  • Downward-sloping 20-and 50-EMAs add to the downside filters.
  • A slippage below 0.9540 will direct the greenback bulls towards a fresh two-decade low.

The EUR/USD pair is hovering around the critical support of 0.9540, which is a fresh two-decade low, printed on Monday. In the Asian session, the asset declined firmly after attempting to cross the round-level hurdle of 0.9600. The major is auctioning at a make or break level, therefore a volatility enhancement in the counter cannot be ruled out.

On an hourly scale, the shared currency bulls are testing the waters first at 0.9540 around and a follow-up selling pressure will send the pair into a negative trajectory. Also, the downward-sloping trendline from Tuesday’s high at 0.9671 will be a major barricade.

The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 0.9583 and 0.9622 respectively are sloping downwards, which adds to the downside filters.

Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates more weakness ahead.

Should the asset drops below Wednesday’s low at 0.9542, the greenback bulls will drag the asset towards June 2002 low at 0.9313, followed by October 2001 high at 0.9241.

Investors could go for a contra bet if the asset oversteps Tuesday’s high at around 0.9670, which will drive the asset towards Friday’s high at 0.9852. A breach of the latter will send the major towards the round-level resistance at 0.9900.

EUR/USD hourly chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price0.9556
Today Daily Change-0.0038
Today Daily Change %-0.40
Today daily open0.9594
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9924
Daily SMA501.0056
Daily SMA1001.0265
Daily SMA2001.0679
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9671
Previous Daily Low0.9569
Previous Weekly High1.0051
Previous Weekly Low0.9668
Previous Monthly High1.0369
Previous Monthly Low0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9608
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9632
Daily Pivot Point S10.9552
Daily Pivot Point S20.951
Daily Pivot Point S30.945
Daily Pivot Point R10.9654
Daily Pivot Point R20.9713
Daily Pivot Point R30.9756

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bears retain control below 1.1780-1.1770 confluence breakpoint

The EUR/USD pair remains on the back foot through the Asian session on Friday and currently trades just above mid-1.1700s, well within striking distance of a nearly one-month low set the previous day.

GBP/USD seems vulnerable near one-month low as traders await US data

The GBP/USD pair prolongs its weekly downtrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and slides back closer to a nearly one-month low, touched the previous day. Spot prices trade below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session on Friday and seem vulnerable to slide further as traders now look to important US macro data for a fresh impetus.

Gold eyes next breakout on US GDP, PCE inflation data

Gold sticks to recent gains around the $5,000-mark early Friday, biding time before the high-impact US macro events. The focus is now on the US fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product, core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index and the Supreme Court’s ruling on President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple remain range-bound as breakdown risks rise

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are trading sideways within consolidation ranges on Friday, signaling a lack of directional bias in the broader crypto market. BTC rebounded from key support, and ETH is nearing the lower consolidation boundary, while XRP is holding at its lower trendline boundary. 

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.