|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Rebound has further legs to go

  • EUR/USD leaves behind the initial pessimism and retakes 1.1460.
  • The YTD high at 1.1483 comes next on the upside.

The rebound in EUR/USD from last week’s YTD lows stays well and sound and now flirts with daily highs near 1.1470 on Monday.

The ongoing strength is now poised to extend further considering the recent price action. Against that, the YTD top at 1.1483 (February 4) emerges as the next target closely followed by the 200-week SMA at 1.1496. Between 1.1500 and 1.1600 there are no resistance levels of note, leaving the October 2021 top at 1.1692 as a potential longer-term target.

The recent breakout of the 5-month resistance line, today near 1.1410, leaves extra gains well on the cards in the near term at least. In the longer run, the negative outlook remains in place while below the key 200-day SMA at 1.1673.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1447
Today Daily Change49
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.1455
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1329
Daily SMA501.1316
Daily SMA1001.1429
Daily SMA2001.1677
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1484
Previous Daily Low1.1412
Previous Weekly High1.1484
Previous Weekly Low1.1138
Previous Monthly High1.1483
Previous Monthly Low1.1121
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1456
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1439
Daily Pivot Point S11.1416
Daily Pivot Point S21.1378
Daily Pivot Point S31.1344
Daily Pivot Point R11.1489
Daily Pivot Point R21.1522
Daily Pivot Point R31.1561

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases below 1.1700 after EU inflation data

EUR/USD has come under mild selling pressure below 1.1700 in European trading hours on Wednesday. The pair faces headwinds from softer Eurozone inflation data, which weigh on the Euro. Meanwhile, the US Dollar struggles ahead of US jobs report. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 ahead of US data

GBP/USD loses ground to gyrate around 1.3500 on Wednesday after registering modest gains in the previous session. The pair treads water as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ADP Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index due later in the day.

Gold remains depressed below $4,500 as key US macro data looms

Gold trims a part of its intraday losses, though it retains its negative bias through the first half of the European session on Wednesday and remains well below the $4,500 psychological mark. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the underlying bullish sentiment turns out to be a key factor that prompted some profit-taking around the precious metal. 

ADP Employment Report set to show moderate rebound in December after November’s drop

The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute will release its monthly Employment Change Report for December on Wednesday. The ADP report is expected to show that the United States economy created 45,000 jobs in the last month of 2025, to offset the 32.000 net employment loss seen in November.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.