|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls again fail to invalidate a lower high

  • Euro bulls struggle to force a breakout above a lower high at 1.1349. 
  • Daily RSI retains the bullish bias, key averages eye bull cross. 

The EUR/USD failed to keep gains above 1.1349 – a lower high created on June 23 – on Monday and was last seen trading largely unchanged on the day near 1.1338. 

A bull failure above 1.1349 was first observed last Thursday. 

A close above 1.1349 is needed to invalidate the lower high pattern on the daily chart and open the doors for a stronger rally toward 1.1422 (June 10 high) and possibly to 1.15. 

Supporting the case for a breakout is the above-50 or bullish reading on the 14-day relative strength index. In addition, the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) is about to cross above the 200-day SMA. 

On the lower side, Friday’s low of 1.12 is the level to beat for the sellers. A violation there would shift the focus to the ascending 50-day SMA, currently at 1.1137. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish above 1.1349 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1346
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.1344
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.126
Daily SMA501.1128
Daily SMA1001.1047
Daily SMA2001.1052
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1375
Previous Daily Low1.13
Previous Weekly High1.1371
Previous Weekly Low1.1243
Previous Monthly High1.1422
Previous Monthly Low1.1097
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1346
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1329
Daily Pivot Point S11.1305
Daily Pivot Point S21.1265
Daily Pivot Point S31.123
Daily Pivot Point R11.1379
Daily Pivot Point R21.1414
Daily Pivot Point R31.1453

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

RBNZ set to pause interest-rate easing cycle as new Governor Breman faces firm inflation

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand remains on track to maintain the Official Cash Rate at 2.25% after concluding its first monetary policy meeting of this year on Wednesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.