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EUR/USD: Off two-month highs as US yields recover, focus on risk sentiment

  • EUR/USD pulls back from eight-week highs as US yields bounce from record lows. 
  • The US index futures are pointing to risk reset. 
  • Risk-on will likely weigh over the EUR, a safe-haven currency. 

EUR/USD has pulled back from two-month highs, possibly tracking the recovery in the US treasury yields.

The pair is currently trading at 1.1160, having hit high of 1.1214 on Tuesday. That was the highest level since Jan. 2.

Meanwhile, the 10-year US treasury note is trading at 0.986%, representing a seven basis point gain from the record low of 0.916% reached Tuesday. The two-year yield has also recovered to 0.683% from 0.613%. 

Yields had tanked during Tuesday'sNorth American trading hours, sending the US dollar lower across the board in response to the decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut rates by 50 basis points.

The emergency rate cut delivered to contain the negative impact of coronavirus on the economy initially had a positive impact on equities. The sentiment, however, turned bearish and the US markets ended the day in the red as investors took the rate cut as a sign of panic. 

Focus on equities

Markets have treated the EUR as a haven currency throughout the recent bout of coronavirus-led risk aversion. This is evident from EUR/USD's near 90-degree surge
from 1.0788 to 1.12 seen in the last eight trading days. 

So, if the risk sentiment improves, the bid tone around the single currency will likely weaken, allowing a notable pullback in EUR/USD. At press time, futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 1.2% gain. 
 
On the data front, German and Eurozone retail sales and final German and Eurozone PMI readings will be eyed by traders. Across the pond, the US ISM non-manufacturing (Feb) will take the center stage. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1163
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.15
Today daily open1.118
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0918
Daily SMA501.1033
Daily SMA1001.1059
Daily SMA2001.1099
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1214
Previous Daily Low1.1095
Previous Weekly High1.1053
Previous Weekly Low1.0805
Previous Monthly High1.1089
Previous Monthly Low1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1168
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1141
Daily Pivot Point S11.1113
Daily Pivot Point S21.1045
Daily Pivot Point S31.0994
Daily Pivot Point R11.1231
Daily Pivot Point R21.1282
Daily Pivot Point R31.1349


 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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