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EUR/USD lacks any firm intraday direction, remains confined in a range around 1.0500 mark

  • EUR/USD struggles to gain any meaningful traction and oscillates in a narrow trading band.
  • Rebounding US bond yields, recession fears revive the USD demand and act as a headwind.
  • The uncertainty about the Fed’s rate-hike path caps the greenback and offers some support.

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.0440 area, or the lower end of its weekly range and oscillates in a narrow trading band on Thursday. The pair is currently placed around the 1.0500 psychological mark, nearly unchanged for the day.

Following the previous day's pullback, the US Dollar regains some positive traction and turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the EUR/USD pair. The recent positive US economic data fueled speculations that the Fed might lift rates more than recently projected. This, in turn, pushes the US Treasury bond yields, which, along with growing recession fears, revive demand for the safe-haven buck.

The shared currency, on the other hand, is undermined by diminishing odds for more aggressive rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB). Apart from this, worries about economic headwinds stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine conflict further contribute to capping the upside for the EUR/USD pair. The downside, however, remains cushioned amid rising bets for a 50 bps Fed rate hike in December.

Firming expectations that the US central bank will slow the pace of its policy tightening is holding back the USD bulls from placing fresh bets and lending some support to the EUR/USD pair. Hence, the focus remains glued to the highly-anticipated FOMC policy meeting on December 13-14. The ECB is also scheduled to announce its decision on Thursday, which should provide a fresh directional impetus to the major.

In the meantime, traders on Thursday will take cues from the release of the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the US, due later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, might influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the EUR/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0502
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.051
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0384
Daily SMA501.007
Daily SMA1001.0059
Daily SMA2001.0357
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.055
Previous Daily Low1.0443
Previous Weekly High1.0545
Previous Weekly Low1.029
Previous Monthly High1.0497
Previous Monthly Low0.973
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0509
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0484
Daily Pivot Point S11.0452
Daily Pivot Point S21.0394
Daily Pivot Point S31.0345
Daily Pivot Point R11.0559
Daily Pivot Point R21.0608
Daily Pivot Point R31.0665

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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