- EUR/USD has overstepped the major hurdle of 0.9900 as the risk-off market tone has started fading away.
- The DXY is going through a tough time ahead of US NFP data.
- Weaker projections for Eurozone Retail Sales indicate a decline in retail demand.
The EUR/USD pair has crossed the immediate hurdle of 0.9900 confidently and is expected to establish above the same. The risk profile is getting cheerful now as S&P500 has rebounded firmly. Also, yields have cooled as investors are shifting their focus toward the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The 10-year benchmark yields have slipped below 3.75%.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has slipped sharply to near 111.00. The DXY is facing volatility amid lower consensus for the US employment data. Escalating interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to combat the mounting inflation has trimmed employment opportunities.
The corporate has been left with no option but to postpone the capacity expansion and investment plans to avoid higher interest obligations. This results in a slowdown in the job creation process.
Per the expectations, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data will decline to 250k vs. the prior release of 315k. The jobless rate is seen as stable at 3.7%. Apart from that, the Average Hourly Earnings data will remain in focus, which is expected to trim by ten basis points (bps) to 5.1% on an annual basis.
However, the upbeat release of the US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) payroll data on Thursday is not supporting the case for a slowdown in the recruitment process by the corporate sector. But the US NFP data is expected to display a clear picture of employment status in the US economy.
On Thursday, the eurozone bulls will dance to the tunes of Retail Sales data. According to the estimates, the economic catalyst will decline by 1.7% against the former print of 0.9%. This indicates a slowdown in the overall retail demand and the mounting price pressures are responsible for the same. Apart from that, firms in the trading bloc face a severe decline in operating margins due to soaring energy prices.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds above 0.6600 ahead of the US PMI, Fed’s Powell speech
The AUD/USD pair holds above the 0.6600 psychological mark during the early Asian session on Friday. However, the rebound of the US Dollar might cap the pair’s upside in the near term. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index surges to 103.50 while the US Treasury bond yield edge higher.
EUR/USD suffers worst decline in months, stays below 1.0900
EUR/USD lost almost a hundred pips on Thursday, having the worst day in months. The Euro lost ground across the board while the US Dollar had a mixed performance after US data pointed to softer inflation and a more balanced labor market.
Gold recovers its losses near $2,040, focus on US PMI, Fed’s Powell speech
Gold price recovers its recent losses near $2,040 during the early Asian session on Friday. The anticipation that the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady and perhaps start cutting in 2024 weighs on the US Dollar and lends some support to the USD-denominated gold.
Cosmos Price Prediction: ATOM eyes 10% gains amid chatter about a fork
Cosmos price is trading with a bullish bias despite a rejection from the $10.218 resistance level. The optimism comes on the back of chatter of a possible fork, expected to result in an airdrop, an outcome that would be effectively bullish for Cosmos Hub.
US: Moderation in personal spending amid more cooling in prices
Personal income and spending report shows consumers are throttling back. Not only are households spending less, but also the composition of outlays is tilting in a way that suggests a more budget-conscious mindset even as income is holding up better than first reported.