EUR/SEK: Swedish Krona remains vulnerable in the near term – MUFG

Matías Salord FXStreet

Analysts at MUFG Bank forecast the EUR/SEK to edge modestly higher to 11.900 by the end of the third quarter, and to drop later to 11.500 by the first quarter of 2024.

Riksbank to step up pace of QT to provide more support for SEK

The krona has re-weakened in August giving back all of the gains recorded in July. It has resulted in EUR/SEK hitting a new record high of 11.963 in August as it moved above the Global Financial Crisis high at 11.790 from March 2009. The krone has been undermined by the recent deterioration in global investor risk sentiment.

The krona would benefit more from a softer landing for the global economy which allows major central banks to begin lowering rates in response to the ongoing slowdown in inflation. The weaker krona if sustained will make it more challenging for the Riksbank to bring down inflation closer to their target.

The krona remains vulnerable to further weakness in the near-term, but we still expect a rebound in the year ahead.

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

EUR/USD looks to regain the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD regains some balance and trade just above 1.1600 the figure ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair initially dipped to the 1.1530 zone for the first time since November, always following the stronger US Dollar and the marked flight-to-safety in the context of the ongoing Middle East crisis

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold bounces off lows, back above $5,100

Gold remains on the defensive, eroding part of the recent multi-day advance and managing to trade back above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal initially dropped just below the critical $5,000 threshold on the back of the persistent strength of the Greenback, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and investors' repricing of Fed rate cuts.