|

EUR/JPY to retest the 126.75 level – Commerzbank

EUR/JPY gained 0.11% on Monday, ending a six-day losing streak, after nearing the uptrend at 124.34. Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank, recommends raising the stop to 124.30, partially cover 126.75 and exit the remainder 127.50.

Key quotes

“EUR/JPY has slipped back to and so far held over the four-month uptrend at 124.34. This suggests that the market remains capable of retesting the 126.75 peak from mid-August and the 2014-2020 resistance line lies at 127.53. A resistance line only connects two points and we have no strong bias on whether this will hold or not.” 

“Please note that the intraday Elliott wave count is now negative and this implies that the four-month support line at 124.34 is exposed. Failure here would target the January high at 122.88. The latter guards the July low at 120.28.” 

“Above the 127.53 downtrend we have the 200-month ma at 130.57.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).