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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Remains bearish after posting recovery from three-week low

  • EUR/JPY bounces from three-week low to 161.96, forming a 'hammer' pattern suggesting potential upside.
  • Mixed technical indicators prompt caution, with the RSI nearing a bearish shift as the pair eyes the 162.04 Tenkan-Sen.
  • Bears and bulls vie for control, with critical supports and resistances set around key psychological and technical marks.

On Thursday, the EUR/JPY registered a volatile session that saw the pair dive to a three-week low of 160.55. However, the losses were short-lived amidst the ECB’s hawkish hold, and the session finished with losses of 0.43%. As the Friday Asian session begins, the cross trades at 161.96, down 0.10%.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY formed a 230 pip ‘hammer,’ which indicates the pair is edged to the upside. However, mixed signals between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are closing to the 50-midline about to shift bearish, suggesting caution is warranted.

On the upside, the pair is capped by the Tenkan-Sen at 162.04, which, once cleared, could open the door to testing the March 7 high at 162.81, followed by the psychological 163.00 mark. Nevertheless, should bears keep the EUR/JPY from climbing above 162.00, the pair could extend its losses.

The first support would be the Senkou Span A at 161.67, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 161.31. Once surpassed, the 160.55 March 7 low emerges as the demand area, followed by 160.00.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price162
Today Daily Change-0.78
Today Daily Change %-0.48
Today daily open162.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.26
Daily SMA50160.38
Daily SMA100159.99
Daily SMA200158.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.96
Previous Daily Low162.21
Previous Weekly High163.72
Previous Weekly Low161.68
Previous Monthly High163.72
Previous Monthly Low158.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%162.5
Daily Pivot Point S1162.34
Daily Pivot Point S2161.9
Daily Pivot Point S3161.59
Daily Pivot Point R1163.09
Daily Pivot Point R2163.4
Daily Pivot Point R3163.84

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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