|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Remains bearish after posting recovery from three-week low

  • EUR/JPY bounces from three-week low to 161.96, forming a 'hammer' pattern suggesting potential upside.
  • Mixed technical indicators prompt caution, with the RSI nearing a bearish shift as the pair eyes the 162.04 Tenkan-Sen.
  • Bears and bulls vie for control, with critical supports and resistances set around key psychological and technical marks.

On Thursday, the EUR/JPY registered a volatile session that saw the pair dive to a three-week low of 160.55. However, the losses were short-lived amidst the ECB’s hawkish hold, and the session finished with losses of 0.43%. As the Friday Asian session begins, the cross trades at 161.96, down 0.10%.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY formed a 230 pip ‘hammer,’ which indicates the pair is edged to the upside. However, mixed signals between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are closing to the 50-midline about to shift bearish, suggesting caution is warranted.

On the upside, the pair is capped by the Tenkan-Sen at 162.04, which, once cleared, could open the door to testing the March 7 high at 162.81, followed by the psychological 163.00 mark. Nevertheless, should bears keep the EUR/JPY from climbing above 162.00, the pair could extend its losses.

The first support would be the Senkou Span A at 161.67, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 161.31. Once surpassed, the 160.55 March 7 low emerges as the demand area, followed by 160.00.

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price162
Today Daily Change-0.78
Today Daily Change %-0.48
Today daily open162.78
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.26
Daily SMA50160.38
Daily SMA100159.99
Daily SMA200158.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.96
Previous Daily Low162.21
Previous Weekly High163.72
Previous Weekly Low161.68
Previous Monthly High163.72
Previous Monthly Low158.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%162.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%162.5
Daily Pivot Point S1162.34
Daily Pivot Point S2161.9
Daily Pivot Point S3161.59
Daily Pivot Point R1163.09
Daily Pivot Point R2163.4
Daily Pivot Point R3163.84

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1800 on Fed hawkish remarks

The EUR/USD pair edges lower to around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Wednesday, pressured by a renewed US Dollar demand. Traders await the US President Donald Trump's State of the Union address later on Wednesday for clarity on fiscal policies. 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold consolidates below $5,150 as traders await Trump's State of the Union address

Gold steadies below the $5,150 level following the previous day's pullback from the monthly peak as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of Trump's State of the Union address. In the meantime, trade-related uncertainties and geopolitical risks seem to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. However, the Fed's less hawkish outlook underpins the US Dollar, which, along with a positive risk tone, caps the upside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Coinbase launches stocks and ETF trading amid ongoing plans for all-in-one platform

Coinbase has launched stocks and ETF trading for US customers on its platform, according to an X post on Tuesday. The service offers commission-free trading available 24 hours a day, five days a week, for eligible securities. Traders deposit US dollars or USDC to fund positions and access fractional shares as low as $1. 

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.