|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Faces robust resistance around 140.00 and collapses below 139.00

  • EUR/JPY finishes negative in the week, down by 0.48% as the yen shows signs of strength.
  • Deteriorated market mood, augmented appetite for safe-haven peers.
  • EUR/JPY Price Analysis: In the near term is downward biased, eyeing a fall below 137.00.

The EUR/JPY plummets from weekly highs hit on Thursday at 142.32, drops more than 160 pips on Friday, towards the 138.00 area, amidst a dampened market mood, which increased safety appetite, bolstering in the FX space, the Japanese yen. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 138.93.

US equities fell between 0.43% and 1.77% as Wall Street closed. Social media companies missing earnings estimations, alongside soft US economic data, added to recession fears. In the FX space, the greenback finished flat on Friday, as shown by the US Dollar Index, but slid 1.28%, snapping three consecutive weeks of gains.

Also read: EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges 200 pips after hitting a two-week high

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY Is still upward biased, despite the ongoing pullback from weekly highs at 142.32, towards its lows at 138.89. Traders should note that the cross-currency slumped below the 20 and 50-day EMA, exacerbating the break below 139.00. However, unless EUR/JPY sellers reclaim the 100-day EMA at 137.06, the uptrend is intact.

EUR/JPY 1-hour chart

The EUR/JPY hourly chart illustrates that once the pair dived below the ascending channel bottom trendline alongside the 140.42 July 20 low, the bias would shift neutral-to-downwards in the near term. However, sellers outweighing buyers by large sent the cross plunging from the 140.00 area to 138.90s, breaking beneath the 200-hour EMA on its way down.

Therefore, the EUR/JPY in the near term is downward biased. The EUR/JPY first support will be 138.50. Break below will expose the July 13 low at 137.99, followed by the July 12 swing low at 137.14.

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

 

Overview
Today last price138.93
Today Daily Change-1.61
Today Daily Change %-1.15
Today daily open140.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.3
Daily SMA50139.54
Daily SMA100136.97
Daily SMA200133.53
 
Levels
Previous Daily High142.32
Previous Daily Low140.14
Previous Weekly High139.89
Previous Weekly Low137.02
Previous Monthly High144.28
Previous Monthly Low137.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%140.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%141.49
Daily Pivot Point S1139.67
Daily Pivot Point S2138.81
Daily Pivot Point S3137.48
Daily Pivot Point R1141.86
Daily Pivot Point R2143.18
Daily Pivot Point R3144.04

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold sticks to modest losses; seems vulnerable below $4,200 on Fed hike bets

Gold extends its intraday retracement slide from a one-week high, hitting a fresh daily low around $4,170 during the early European session. The US Dollar attracts fresh buyers after a modest downtick amid the US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook, which, in turn, is seen as weighing on the non-yielding bullion.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI defends $0.0800 support as selling pressure mounts

Pi Network is trading in the red on Monday, hovering above $0.0800 as selling pressure mounts. PI token’s speculative demand is easing, with Open Interest below $9 million despite rising social chatter, hinting at panic-driven buzz among investors. The technical outlook for PI suggests a bearish bias, with the risk of breaking below the $0.0800 support level.

USD/INR: Deep in red below 96.00 as RBI rescues Indian Rupee

After opening significantly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, the Indian Rupee (INR) clings to recovery gains near 95.80. The pair remains undermined by the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) fresh measures to curb US Dollar demand, which has brought relief for the Indian currency.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?