|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Faces robust resistance around 140.00 and collapses below 139.00

  • EUR/JPY finishes negative in the week, down by 0.48% as the yen shows signs of strength.
  • Deteriorated market mood, augmented appetite for safe-haven peers.
  • EUR/JPY Price Analysis: In the near term is downward biased, eyeing a fall below 137.00.

The EUR/JPY plummets from weekly highs hit on Thursday at 142.32, drops more than 160 pips on Friday, towards the 138.00 area, amidst a dampened market mood, which increased safety appetite, bolstering in the FX space, the Japanese yen. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY is trading at 138.93.

US equities fell between 0.43% and 1.77% as Wall Street closed. Social media companies missing earnings estimations, alongside soft US economic data, added to recession fears. In the FX space, the greenback finished flat on Friday, as shown by the US Dollar Index, but slid 1.28%, snapping three consecutive weeks of gains.

Also read: EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges 200 pips after hitting a two-week high

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/JPY Is still upward biased, despite the ongoing pullback from weekly highs at 142.32, towards its lows at 138.89. Traders should note that the cross-currency slumped below the 20 and 50-day EMA, exacerbating the break below 139.00. However, unless EUR/JPY sellers reclaim the 100-day EMA at 137.06, the uptrend is intact.

EUR/JPY 1-hour chart

The EUR/JPY hourly chart illustrates that once the pair dived below the ascending channel bottom trendline alongside the 140.42 July 20 low, the bias would shift neutral-to-downwards in the near term. However, sellers outweighing buyers by large sent the cross plunging from the 140.00 area to 138.90s, breaking beneath the 200-hour EMA on its way down.

Therefore, the EUR/JPY in the near term is downward biased. The EUR/JPY first support will be 138.50. Break below will expose the July 13 low at 137.99, followed by the July 12 swing low at 137.14.

EUR/JPY Key Technical Levels

 

Overview
Today last price138.93
Today Daily Change-1.61
Today Daily Change %-1.15
Today daily open140.53
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.3
Daily SMA50139.54
Daily SMA100136.97
Daily SMA200133.53
 
Levels
Previous Daily High142.32
Previous Daily Low140.14
Previous Weekly High139.89
Previous Weekly Low137.02
Previous Monthly High144.28
Previous Monthly Low137.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%140.97
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%141.49
Daily Pivot Point S1139.67
Daily Pivot Point S2138.81
Daily Pivot Point S3137.48
Daily Pivot Point R1141.86
Daily Pivot Point R2143.18
Daily Pivot Point R3144.04

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains in two-day highs around 1.3260

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s bounce, gathering fresh traction and flirting with the 1.3270 zone on Monday, or two-day tops. Cable’s decent advance comes despite the move higher in the Greenback and investors’ assessing of UK PM K. Starmer's resignation.

EUR/USD remains close to three-month lows near 1.1450

EUR/USD sets aside Friday’s bounce and trades with modest losses in the mid-1.1400s at the beginning of the week. The continuation of the bid bias in the US Dollar continues to weigh on spot despite improving sentiment from the geopolitical front.

Gold bounces off lows, looks to surpass $4,200

Gold regains composure and leaves behind three-consecutive daily declines on Monday, looking to regain the area above the $4,200 mark per troy ounce. Reports of progress in the latest round of US-Iran talks are helping the precious metal maintain its footing at the start of the week, although the stronger Greenback seems to limit the upside potential for now.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
Is Shiba Inu dead or just in a crisis? The data behind SHIB's 95% crash

SHIB, the dog-themed meme coin that became one of the biggest success stories in crypto and turned early buyers into crypto millionaires, is facing tough times. Its price has fallen more than 32% so far this year, and it is down 95% from its all-time high in 2021. Is SHIB simply another fading meme coin, or is the market overlooking a possible recovery story?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.