|

EUR/GBP finds a cushion around 0.8800 as BoE believes inflation to fall rapidly

  • EUR/GBP has gauged an intermediate cushion around 0.8810 as BoE claims rapid inflation softening ahead.
  • The BoE announced a 25 bps rate hike and pushed rates to 4.25% despite fears of banking turmoil.
  • ECB Knot is in favor of further rate hikes in May as inflation is showing no signs of abating.

The EUR/GBP pair has found an intermediate cushion around 0.8810 in the early Tokyo session. Earlier, the cross witnessed a sell-off after the Bank of England (BoE) announced an eleventh consecutive rate hike to sharpen its tools in the battle against double-digit inflation.  BoE Governor Andrew Bailey announced a rate hike by 25 basis points (bps) and pushed rates to 4.25%.

The asset is expected to deliver more weakness ahead as the street believes that the United Kingdom (UK) inflation is extremely stubborn and will take plenty of time to get contained. The BoE has come a long way by hiking rates to 4.25% and the annual inflation is still in the double-digit figure, showing no evidence of softening ahead.

On Wednesday, the UK Office for National Statistics reported a surprise jump in the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 10.4% while the street was anticipating a decline to 9.8%. BoE stated that the surprise upside was mainly the impact of less often volatile clothing prices, which won’t last long.

The central bank is very much confident that inflation will start decelerating rapidly from the second quarter. However, the labor shortage and higher food prices might continue to keep inflation at elevated levels. For further guidance, investors will focus on the Retail Sales data, which is expected to contract by 4.7% on an annual basis.

On the Eurozone front, European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Klaas Knot said that the ECB is unlikely to be done with rate hikes and added that they still think that they need to raise the policy rate in May. Investors should be aware that the ECB hiked rates by 50 bps last week. No doubt, more hikes must be in pipeline as ECB President Christine Lagarde has been reiterating that higher inflation would stay for a longer period.

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.882
Today Daily Change-0.0032
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open0.8852
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8829
Daily SMA500.8835
Daily SMA1000.8778
Daily SMA2000.8687
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8854
Previous Daily Low0.8772
Previous Weekly High0.8864
Previous Weekly Low0.8718
Previous Monthly High0.8979
Previous Monthly Low0.8755
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8823
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8803
Daily Pivot Point S10.8798
Daily Pivot Point S20.8744
Daily Pivot Point S30.8716
Daily Pivot Point R10.888
Daily Pivot Point R20.8908
Daily Pivot Point R30.8962

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1650 ahead of US data

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1650 on Friday after facing a rejection once again near seven-week highs. The pair, however, continues to draw support from persistent US Dollar weakness, despite a cautious market mood. Traders now await the US September PCE inflation and UoM Consumer Sentiment data. 

GBP/USD clings to gains in 1.3350 region, eyes on US data

GBP/USD sticks to a positive bias near 1.3350 in the second half of the day on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US inflation and sentiment data due later in the day. In the meantime, broad-based US Dollar weakness helps the pair stay afloat. 

Gold remains below $4,250 as traders await key US data

Gold gains some positive traction on Friday and trades in the upper half of its weekly range. Dovish Fed expectations continue to undermine the USD and lend support to the commodity. Bulls, however, might opt to wait for the US PCE Price Index before placing aggressive bets.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.