|

EUR/GBP could move towards 0.9 – Danske Bank

Allan von Mehren, chief analyst at Danske Bank, notes that the GBP weakened against EUR yesterday, on a day full of headwinds.

Key Quotes

“Softer UK PMIs, compression of Italian sovereign spreads and marginally negative but not too surprising comments from Boris Johnson combined to send the GBP lower. If indeed we are about to see a weakening of domestic data in UK combined with euro spread compression, the EUR/GBP could move towards 0.9., although this is not our main scenario.”

“Nonetheless, forecasters have been surprised by strong UK data and a turn towards weaker growth indicators could fuel some short-term headwind for the GBP, even if Brexit news is neutral.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold surges past $4,400, hitting fresh two-month highs

Gold climbs further beyond $4,400, touching its highest level since June 5 in the Asian session on Tuesday. Easing Fed rate hike expectations continue to drive flows towards the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices back the case for at least one rate hike in 2026, which supports the US Dollar and might cap the precious metal ahead of the crucial US CPI report on Wednesday.

Bitcoin softens on institutional selling – CRV, ICP outperform
The broader cryptocurrency market shows mixed sentiment as Bitcoin (BTC) drops to $64,000 under institutional selling pressure. The Fear and Greed Index at 37, down from 40 the previous day, signals renewed bearish pressure. Meanwhile, Curve DAO (CRV) and Internet Computer (ICP) continue to extend their gains so far this week, emerging as top performers over the last 24 hours.
Breakouts, fakeouts, and the levels that decide what comes next
Friday gave metal bulls something to celebrate, with gold confirming a major breakout and silver finally pushing above its consolidation. Still, Monday’s action is a reminder that breaking a level is only half the job - the market now needs to prove it can hold those gains.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.