CCIV Stock Price and News: Churchill Capital Corp IV Lucid Motors falls in the face of competition


  • CCIV still suffering after-effects of the Lucid Motors merger.
  • Electric Vehicle (EV) sector to face growing competition.
  • CCIV shares still hold strong retail interest.

Update March 4: Churchill Capital Corp IV (NYSE: CCIV) has been on the back foot on Thursday, falling below $24. Competition in the EV sector, a reality check following the SPAC merger with Lucid Motors and rising bond yields are weighing on shares. Investors seem unimpressed with a potential deal with Dolby – due on March 17. In the short-term, re-evaluating the merger, a "sell the rumor" effect and rivals in China weigh on CCIV shares.

Another day another loss for CCIV shares as the post-Lucid Motors hangover continues. Granted it cannot all be put on CCIV shares shoulders as the broader market also looks to be struggling for momentum.


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CCIV Stock Price

Churchill Capital IV shares fell to their lowest level since February 1 as investors continue to reevaluate the merger deal. Weakness in the broader market may have led to exacerbated losses for CCIV shares. Some profit taking by early investors may be hitting, now that losses from other investments are feeding through portfolios.

CCIV shares closed on Wednesday at $23.02 for a loss of 4.8%. CCIV shares peaked at $64.86 on February 18. 

Late-stage investors are the ones suffering the most, as peak Lucid Motors merger fever hit social media. Despite CCIV shares launching at $10, traders bid CCIV stock up to beyond $60. The hype of Lucid being the next Tesla, and the new equity market phenomenon of Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) appear to have been the main factors behind the spike. 

While the debate over whether indeed Lucid does manage to become the next Tesla may or may not prove correct, timing still plays a key role in markets. Markets rarely go up in straight lines indefinitely and an appreciation of that magnitude requires careful analysis and risk management. 

The other factor of course which was a definite influence on the CCIV collapse was the PIPE transaction being priced at $15 per share, a significant discount to $60. $15 was actually higher than the IPO launch price of CCIV at $10 which is where a further capital raise through a PIPE transaction would normally have taken place. 

CCIV Stock Forecast

So where to from here. Well, now it starts to look slightly more attractive. The worries over FOMO trading at $60 have evaporated. So it is just a case of trying to value what you are left with, which is Lucid. Delivery delays have hit the newswires recently which may be behind some of the sell-off. Lucid now expected to begin deliveries in the second half of 2021 and not Spring 2021 as initially hoped. This would hopefully create a nice catalyst for the shares, assuming all goes well. Certainly, initial pictures of the car are impressive and with a former Tesla Chief Engineer at the helm, one would expect the technology to be sound.

Lucid Motors has a limited timeframe to launch and gain traction with consumers. The competition will increase for all EV manufacturers as more and more legacy automakers commit to going fully electric. Recent comments from Volvo about being fully electric by 2030 and Ford that it will be fully electric in Europe by 2030 are evidence of that.

CCIV

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