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Canadian Dollar depreciates due to lower Oil prices, Fed Minutes ahead

  • The Canadian Dollar lost ground amid lower crude Oil prices.
  • US Dollar appreciates due to higher US yields ahead of FOMC Minutes.
  • WTI prices continue losing due to expectations of the Fed maintaining higher rates for longer.

USD/CAD extended gains for the third successive session, trading around 1.3660 during the European hours on Wednesday. The appreciation of the pair could be attributed to a stronger US Dollar (USD), possibly led by the higher US Treasury yields. Traders await the Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting held on May 1, seeking further clues about the Fed's policy stance.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the Greenback against the other 6 major currencies, edges higher to near 104.70 with 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.56% and 4.43%, respectively, by the press time.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) maintains a cautious stance regarding inflation and the potential for rate cuts in 2024. Speaking at the event titled "Central Banking in the Post-Pandemic Financial System" on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins emphasized that progress toward interest rate adjustment will take longer. Additionally, Fed Governor Christopher Waller mentioned that he would need to observe several more months of positive inflation data before feeling comfortable supporting a policy easing.

On the CAD front, lower crude oil prices are exerting pressure on the Canadian Dollar (CAD), given Canada's status as the largest Oil exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price trades around $77.80 per barrel, at the time of writing. The decline in crude Oil prices could be attributed to expectations of the Federal Reserve maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period, which may impact fuel consumption in the US, the world's largest Oil consumer.

The Bank of Canada's (BoC) preferred trimmed-mean core inflation rate eased to 2.9%. Moreover, the BoC’s median core rate dropped more than anticipated to 2.6%, marking its lowest level since June 2021. These developments have bolstered expectations of a rate cut from the BoC in June, thereby undermining the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3664
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.3654
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3673
Daily SMA501.3638
Daily SMA1001.3556
Daily SMA2001.357
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3676
Previous Daily Low1.3615
Previous Weekly High1.3691
Previous Weekly Low1.359
Previous Monthly High1.3846
Previous Monthly Low1.3478
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3638
Daily Pivot Point S11.3621
Daily Pivot Point S21.3587
Daily Pivot Point S31.356
Daily Pivot Point R11.3682
Daily Pivot Point R21.3709
Daily Pivot Point R31.3743

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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