|

Australia Forecasts 2020-2021 Jobless Rate of 8.75%

Australia Forecasts 2020-2021 with a Jobless Rate of 8.75% and a Budget Deficit of A$184.5Bln.

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has begun giving the economic update.

Key numbers

  • Two deficits, $85.8bn in 2019-20 and $184.5bn in 2020-20.
  • Net debt $488.2bn at 30 June 2020 and $677.1bn the following year.
  • Tax receipts are down $31.7bn in 2019-20 and $63.9bn in2020-21.
  • Growth will fall by 3.75% this year and GDP is forecast to be 2.5% higher next year.
  • Unemployment to peak at 9.25% in the December quarter.

Frydenberg says the coronavirus crisis says Australia’s GDP will fall 3.75% in 2020, but grow by just over 2% in calendar year 2020.

He said the Australian government has introduced fiscal support measures worth $164bn, or 8.4% of GDP.

In the financial year 2019-2021, he said, the real GDP will fall by 0.25%, and in 2020-2021 it will be 2.5% down.

Frydenberg told reporters:

The coronavirus crisis has led to unprecedented economic support to the tune of around $11 trillion. Here in Australia the morrison government has deployed $289bn... the equivalent of 14.6% of GDP.

Our economic strength going into this crisis has given us the financial firepower to respond during this crisis.

He said a significant decline in tax receipts and a large increase in government payments had led to a “dramatic change in the budget position”.

These harsh numbers reflect the harsh reality we face.

Frydenberg said the coronavirus has had “a significant impact on the budget bottom line”.

Ninety-nine percent of that spending is over the financial years 2019-2020 and 2020-2021.

Our measures have been temporary, they have been targeted, and they have helped to maintain the structural integrity of the budget.

Frydenberg said Australia was still performing stronger than other comparable nations.

Despite our increased debt levels they remain lower than many comparable nations will exit this crisis with.

He said that globally, the average debt ratio is expected to exceed 100% by the end of 2020.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.