AUDUSD retreats towards 0.6450 as market’s optimism stalls, Aussie data softens


  • AUDUSD bulls take a breather at one-week high, pauses two-day uptrend.
  • Australia’s Westpac Consumer Confidence eased in November, inflation expectations rally.
  • Markets turn dicey in search of fresh clues as previous risk-on mood fades.
  • Aussie NAB data, headlines from China, US can entertain traders ahead of Thursday’s US CPI.

AUDUSD prints mild losses around 0.6470 as bulls take a breather around the weekly top following a two-day uptrend. In doing so, the Aussie pair takes clues from the downbeat data from home, as well as from the market’s cautious mood.

That said, Australia’s Westpac Consumer Confidence slumped to -6.9% in November versus -0.9% prior.

Earlier in the day, the weekly print of ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence dropped to the lowest levels since April 2020, to 78.7 at the latest. The details of the report also mentioned that the inflation expectations were the highest since the data was first released in April 2010.

Elsewhere, optimism surrounding the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rate hikes faded after the policymakers suggest nearness to the pivot rate. Also weighing on the US dollar could be the recently mixed US jobs report and a Reuters report suggesting that four policymakers were favoring smaller rate hikes.

Against this backdrop, Wall Street closed with gains and the US Treasury yields were firmer too. However, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remained pressured. That said, S&P 500 Futures remain directionless at the latest.

Moving on, AUDUSD pair traders may await the National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Business Conditions and Business Confidence indices for October for immediate directions. However, major attention will be given to Thursday’s key US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October.

To sum up, AUDUSD buyers need fresh catalysts to extend the latest run-up, in absence of which the bears are ready to retake control, at least ahead of Thursday’s US CPI.

Technical analysis

AUDUSD bears can remain hopeful unless the quote offers a daily closing beyond the 0.6410-15 resistance confluence including the 50-DMA and a one-month-old descending trend line.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6473
Today Daily Change 0.0010
Today Daily Change % 0.15%
Today daily open 0.6463
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6342
Daily SMA50 0.6531
Daily SMA100 0.6724
Daily SMA200 0.6972
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6483
Previous Daily Low 0.6285
Previous Weekly High 0.6493
Previous Weekly Low 0.6272
Previous Monthly High 0.6548
Previous Monthly Low 0.617
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6407
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6361
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6337
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6212
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6139
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6535
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6608
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6733

 

 

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