|

AUD/USD turns negative after hitting highest level since June

  • US Dollar gains momentum during the American session as US yields move higher.
  • Markets wobble after US economic data, ahead of central banks meetings next week.
  • AUD/USD drops after a four-day positive streak.

The AUD/USD dropped from the highest level since June during the American session after the US Dollar gained momentum. The pair peaked at 0.7141 and then retreated more than 50 pips. It is hovering around 0.7080, near the daily lows.

The Aussie is headed toward the first daily loss versus the US Dollar after rising for four consecutive days. The trend remains bullish but if the current correction deepens, it could turn into a reversal. The next support  is seen at 0.7060 (Jan 25 low) followed by 0.7025. On the upside, a consolidation above 0.7120 would keep the doors open to more gains.

Markets digest new information

Despite the upbeat economic numbers released on Thursday, the outlook is not clear, with mixed signs and higher interest rates. “Monthly data indicate that while the economy came into the fourth quarter with solid momentum, it ended the quarter with a distinct loss of momentum. Growth likely will be weak, at least relative to the last two quarters of 2022, in Q1-2023”, said analysts at Wells Fargo.

US yields ended up moving higher after the economic reports while US equities moved off highs, favoring the US Dollar. The DXY is up for the day above 102.00 after reaching earlier the lowest level since May. The downtrend for the greenback remains in place but it does not look as strong as two weeks ago.

Next week, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on monetary policy and a 25 basis points rate hike is expected. Market participants do not see this as the last hike.

On Friday, Australia will report the Producer Price Index for the third quarter. The following policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia is February 7. Market participants see a 25 basis points rate hike.  

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7089
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open0.7105
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6909
Daily SMA500.6799
Daily SMA1000.6649
Daily SMA2000.6814
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7123
Previous Daily Low0.7032
Previous Weekly High0.7064
Previous Weekly Low0.6872
Previous Monthly High0.6893
Previous Monthly Low0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7088
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7067
Daily Pivot Point S10.7051
Daily Pivot Point S20.6996
Daily Pivot Point S30.6961
Daily Pivot Point R10.7141
Daily Pivot Point R20.7177
Daily Pivot Point R30.7231

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7089
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open0.7105
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6909
Daily SMA500.6799
Daily SMA1000.6649
Daily SMA2000.6814
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7123
Previous Daily Low0.7032
Previous Weekly High0.7064
Previous Weekly Low0.6872
Previous Monthly High0.6893
Previous Monthly Low0.6629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7088
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7067
Daily Pivot Point S10.7051
Daily Pivot Point S20.6996
Daily Pivot Point S30.6961
Daily Pivot Point R10.7141
Daily Pivot Point R20.7177
Daily Pivot Point R30.7231

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.