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AUD/USD struggles for a firm intraday direction, holds steady above 0.6700 mark

  • A combination of diverging forces fails to provide any meaningful impetus to AUD/USD on Tuesday.
  • The less hawkish RBA minutes, a modest pickup in the USD demand act as a headwind for the pair.
  • A positive risk tone caps gains for the safe-haven greenback and limits the downside for the major.

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the vicinity of the YTD low and seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the early European session on Tuesday. The pair is currently placed in neutral territory, around the 0.6725-0.6730 region, and remains at the mercy of the US dollar price dynamics.

The less hawkish minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) September meeting turns out to be a key factor that capped the early uptick for the AUD/USD pair to a three-day high. The Australian central bank reiterated that policy was not on a pre-set path and noted that interest rates are getting closer to normal levels. The RBA added that it sees the case for slowing the pace of hikes, which, along with the emergence of some USD buying, acts as a headwind for the major.

Expectations that the Federal Reserve will stick to its aggressive rate-hiking cycle to tame inflation assist the USD to reverse an early dip to a one-week low. In fact, the US central bank is expected to deliver another supersized 75 bps rate hike at the end of a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. The markets have also been pricing in a small chance of a full 100 bps, which remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and continues to lend support to the buck.

That said, a generally positive tone around the equity markets caps gains for the safe-haven greenback and extends some support to the perceived riskier aussie. Investors also seem reluctant and prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated FOMC policy meeting, starting this Tuesday. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any firm intraday direction. Traders now eye the US housing market data for some impetus later during the early North American session.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6731
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open0.6726
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6818
Daily SMA500.6888
Daily SMA1000.6948
Daily SMA2000.7105
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6734
Previous Daily Low0.6672
Previous Weekly High0.6916
Previous Weekly Low0.667
Previous Monthly High0.7137
Previous Monthly Low0.6835
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6696
Daily Pivot Point S10.6687
Daily Pivot Point S20.6649
Daily Pivot Point S30.6625
Daily Pivot Point R10.6749
Daily Pivot Point R20.6773
Daily Pivot Point R30.6811

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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