|

AUD/USD slips back towards 0.7350 as RBA’s Lowe speaks, focus on US inflation

  • AUD/USD drops over 15 pips to refresh intraday low.
  • RBA’s Lowe rejects rate hike concerns but stays hopeful on delayed economic recovery.
  • Vaccine optimism, easy covid infections keep buyers hopeful but tapering concerns challenge the bulls.
  • Market sentiment improves amid mixed catalysts ahead of the key US inflation figures.

AUD/USD takes offers around 0.7360, down 0.08% intraday, after RBA Governor fails to convince buyers with this cautious optimism during early Tuesday.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Chief Philip Lowe cited virus concerns in his speech on “Delta, the Economy and Monetary Policy” at an online event hosted by Anika Foundation. However, the policymaker sounds optimistic about the future economic growth while saying, “Delta outbreak has delayed, not derailed economic recovery.”

Read: RBA’s Lowe: “Difficult to understand“ why markets pricing in hikes for 2022 and 2023, AUD/USD drops 15-pips

While RBA’s Lowe pulled the AUD/USD prices back to the red, following the positive week-start, market sentiment remains positive ahead of the key US inflation data, keeping buyers hopeful. However, pre-CPI anxiety keeps the traders on the edge amid mixed catalysts.

On the positive side, China’s recently good communication skills, when linked to the Western leaders, join hopes of faster vaccinations and easy virus numbers, recently to 1,605 versus yesterday’s 1,751 for Australia.

Alternatively, hurricanes and typhoons are challenging commodity prices and risk appetite while the Fed tapering chatters are also on the spike and favor the AUD/USD bears, due to its risk barometer status.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields stay firmer around 1.336% while S&P 500 Futures print mild intraday gains by the press time.

Moving on, AUD/USD traders will need to keep their on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August for fresh impulse. Should the price pressure inflates, the pair sellers will have another reason to tighten the grips.

Technical analysis

AUD/USD remains chopped between 20-day and 50-day EMA levels, respectively around 0.7385 and 0.7350, while steady RSI conditions signal a lack of momentum. However, the pair’s sustained trading below 100-day EMA, around 0.7460 by the press time, as well as the last week’s downside break of an ascending trend line from August 20, keeps the AUD/USD sellers hopeful.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7361
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.11%
Today daily open0.7369
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7309
Daily SMA500.7359
Daily SMA1000.7525
Daily SMA2000.7609
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7377
Previous Daily Low0.7336
Previous Weekly High0.7469
Previous Weekly Low0.7345
Previous Monthly High0.7427
Previous Monthly Low0.7106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7361
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7351
Daily Pivot Point S10.7344
Daily Pivot Point S20.7319
Daily Pivot Point S30.7302
Daily Pivot Point R10.7385
Daily Pivot Point R20.7402
Daily Pivot Point R30.7427

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, above 0.7100 ahead of Fed decision

AUD/USD retains its negative bias for the third straight day, trading around 0.7120 and close to a three-week low during the Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar stands firm near a two-week high as the anticipated Fed rate hike and oil-driven inflation fears continue to push US bond yields to a multi-year high. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions benefit the safe-haven buck and weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie.

USD/JPY remains below 155.50 as bulls await the key Fed decision

USD/JPY climbs to a fresh one-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday amid a bullish US Dollar. Oil-driven inflation fears, along with the anticipated Fed rate hike, continue to support surging US bond yields. Moreover, rising US-Iran tensions underpin the USD's reserve currency status. Spot prices, however, remain below the mid-155.00s as bulls seem hesitant ahead of the Fed decision later today and the BoJ meeting, starting on Thursday.

Gold struggles below $4,300, near one-month low as Fed decision looms

Gold remains depressed below $4,300 during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders look to the crucial Fed decision for a fresh impetus. Meanwhile, a surge in US bond yields, bolstered by oil-driven inflation fears, continues to weigh on the non-yielding bullion. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions underpin the safe-haven US Dollar and contribute to a weaker tone around the XAU/USD.

Ethereum continues to attract capital despite impending rate hike and Clarity Act failure

Ethereum declined to $2,400 on Tuesday after the Clarity Act failed to progress in the Senate. Despite that and the market's near certainty of an interest rate hike at the next Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, the top altcoin has continued to attract fresh capital. Ethereum buyers have been dominating sellers over the past few days.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.