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AUD/USD: Rejected again at 50% Fib resistance

  • AUD/USD has failed to pierce key Fib resistance at 0.6880 despite the US-China trade optimism.
  • Australian inflation expectations cooled in September. That data may be capping gains in the AUD.

AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6870, having faced rejection at 0.6880, which is the 50 percent Fibonacci retracement of the drop from 0.7082 to 0.6677.

The pair has faced rejection at the key Fibonacci level for the second straight day, despite optimism on the US-China trade front.

The US President Trump Thursday delayed the decision to impose extra 5% tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods by two weeks to Oct. 15, sending the risk assets higher. Notably, China's offshore Yuan clocked three-week highs against the US Dollar and the reduced haven demand for bonds pushed the US 10-year treasury yield to a one-month high of 1.76%.

Even so, the AUD is reversing lower from key Fib hurdle, possibly due to the weak domestic data - Australia's consumer inflation expectations for September came in at 3.1% vs 3.5% in August.

Looking forward, the bulls need to defend the session low of 0.6859, else the rejection at the key Fib hurdle would gain credence, possibly leading to a deeper drop to 0.6830. As of writing, the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 0.30% gain, so, the AUD may be able to defend 0.6859.

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.687
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.6863
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6782
Daily SMA500.6858
Daily SMA1000.6907
Daily SMA2000.7017
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6885
Previous Daily Low0.6848
Previous Weekly High0.6862
Previous Weekly Low0.6687
Previous Monthly High0.6869
Previous Monthly Low0.6676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6871
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6862
Daily Pivot Point S10.6846
Daily Pivot Point S20.6828
Daily Pivot Point S30.6809
Daily Pivot Point R10.6883
Daily Pivot Point R20.6902
Daily Pivot Point R30.692

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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