|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Sellers attack 0.7720 support confluence

  • AUD/USD fails to extend previous day’s bounce, stays pressured near intraday low.
  • 200-SMA, one-month-old ascending trend line form immediate key support.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, weekly support line add to the downside filters.
  • 50-SMA, near-term resistance line guard recovery moves below 0.7800.

AUD/USD battles the 0.7720 key support during early Friday. In doing so, the pair refrains from extending the previous day’s recovery moves while bears attack 200-SMA and an ascending support line from April.

Given the bearish MACD and the pair’s inability to cross 50% Fibonacci retracement of April-May upside, AUD/USD becomes liable to break the 0.7720 immediate support.

However, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a bit shorter support line, respectively near 0.7700 and 0.7685, could test the bears before directing them to April’s low surrounding 0.7585.

On the flip side, a clear break above 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7738 should propel the AUD/USD prices towards a confluence of 50-SMA, weekly resistance line and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement near 0.7775-80.

Overall, AUD/USD stays on the bears’ radar but the bulls aren’t ready to give up easily.

AUD/USD four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7721
Today Daily Change-8 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.10%
Today daily open0.7729
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7761
Daily SMA500.771
Daily SMA1000.7721
Daily SMA2000.7492
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7769
Previous Daily Low0.7688
Previous Weekly High0.7863
Previous Weekly Low0.7674
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7738
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7719
Daily Pivot Point S10.7688
Daily Pivot Point S20.7647
Daily Pivot Point S30.7607
Daily Pivot Point R10.7769
Daily Pivot Point R20.781
Daily Pivot Point R30.785

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7050; looks to Fed for fresh impetus

AUD/USD is consolidating above mid-0.7000s in the Asian session on Wednesday as traders await the outcome of a two-day FOMC meeting due later in the day. In the meantime, the optimism over an interim peace deal between the US and Iran keeps the US Dollar bulls on the defensive. This, along with the RBA's hawkish pause on Tuesday, acts as a tailwind for the pair.

Gold remains depressed but holds above $4,300 as traders seem hesitant ahead of Fed

Gold remains on the back foot heading into the European session, though it lacks follow-through selling and holds comfortably above the $4,300 mark. Traders now seem hesitant ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC policy decision, keeping the commodity below the weekly high.

DOGE near breakout, SHIB at its ceiling and PEPE leads meme coin recovery

Meme coins are approaching a key technical level, which could determine the next directional bias. Dogecoin struggles to overcome a major resistance level, and Shiba Inu recovery lost momentum near a crucial barrier. Meanwhile, Pepe extends its rally for a sixth straight day, raising the prospects of further upside if momentum persists.

The most important event will be the Fed meeting with Mr. Warsh now in charge

The most important event will be the Fed meeting on Wednesday, with Mr. Warsh now in charge. As more than one analyst points out, the case for holding rates the same is strengthened by the Iran deal and the prospect of the Strait re-opening, although nobody thinks Warsh can marshal enough doves to do a cut this time.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.