|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Rising wedge confirmation teases bears below 0.6680 previous support

  • AUD/USD licks its wounds after posting weekly loss, as well as confirming bearish chart formation.
  • Downbeat oscillators, key SMAs also challenge Aussie pair buyers.
  • Monthly low can act as intermediate halt during theoretical target surrounding October 2022 peak.

AUD/USD buyers struggle to keep the reins around 0.6650 during Monday’s sluggish trading session, after a volatile week. In doing so, the Aussie pair licks its wounds after posting the weekly loss but lacks recovery momentum to extend the late Friday’s corrective bounce off a one-week low.

It should be noted that the AUD/USD pair’s confirmation of a two-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formations joins the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI (14), not oversold, to keep sellers hopeful.

That said, the latest trough surrounding 0.6625 lures intraday sellers of the Aussie pair before highlighting the monthly low of 0.6564.

Following that, the theoretical target of rising wedge confirmation, surrounding 0.6650, joins the October 2022 peak of near 0.6645, to offer strong support to the sellers.

On the flip side, the 100-bar Simple Moving Average (SMA), near 0.6670 at the latest, guards immediate recovery moves of the AUD/USD pair before the stated wedge’s lower line, around 0.6680.

Even if the Aussie pair crosses the 0.6680 support-turned-resistance, the wedge’s top line and the 200-SMA, respectively near 0.6750 and 0.6760, could challenge the bulls.

It’s worth observing that the monthly high of around 0.6785 acts as the last defense of the AUD/USD bears.

AUD/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6645
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open0.6644
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6676
Daily SMA500.6846
Daily SMA1000.6793
Daily SMA2000.6758
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6694
Previous Daily Low0.6625
Previous Weekly High0.6759
Previous Weekly Low0.6625
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6668
Daily Pivot Point S10.6615
Daily Pivot Point S20.6585
Daily Pivot Point S30.6546
Daily Pivot Point R10.6684
Daily Pivot Point R20.6724
Daily Pivot Point R30.6753

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Ethereum activates Glamsterdam on Sepolia testnet: Why the price is falling anyway
Ethereum (ETH) has reached a key milestone in its next major network upgrade. The planned changes aim to improve Ethereum’s Layer 1 capacity and efficiency as network activity grows. The development comes as ETH retreats toward $2,500, highlighting the contrast between the network’s long-term technical progress and its short-term market weakness.
The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is
EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.
The UK 30-year gilt just hit a 1998 high. Is that good or bad for the British Pound?
The yield on the UK's 30-year government bond, or gilt, went through 6% on October 1 for the first time since early 1998, and on Monday the Pound was at its strongest against the Euro since June 2025. The gilt market's 28-year high is mostly someone else's. Since early May, the 30-year gilt yield has risen about 0.15 of a percentage point and the US 30-year about 0.7.