AUD/USD Price Analysis: Potential bear trap at major support area, target 0.68


  • AUD/USD bulls looking to buy into the buy stop liquidity.
  • Stops will be located above trendline support and subsequent resistance on the way to 0.6880s.

AUD/USD has been a head-scratcher following a series of better data of late, a discounted probability that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut rates as soon as Feb 4th meeting and a series of supply without a glimpse of a correction, as of yet. 

This leads to the presumption that a correction is in order and soon, especially considering that the price is now down to a critical level and a likely pool, changing hands in the liquidity of buys and sells stops which means it really is a battle of the bears and bulls at this juncture. One would presume, that given how deep the move has been, that the price is juggling between retail orders as well as large investor asset management as well as commercial positions. 

AUD/USD daily chart: Bulls look to the golden ratio target

Meanwhile, from a technical point of view, the price has broken below a rising support line and a correction here will make for a bear trap. consequently, the price could shoot higher towards the 0.68 handle and target buy stop liquidity in he 23.6% Fibonacci confluence with trendline support before reaching the prior support area of 0.6829 and 0.6850/60 – (golden ratio 61.8% target). Alternatively, 0.6650 is the monthly low.

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD jumps above 0.6500 after hot Australian CPI data

AUD/USD jumps above 0.6500 after hot Australian CPI data

AUD/USD extended gains and recaptured 0.6500 in Asian trading, following the release of hotter-than-expected Australian inflation data. The Australian CPI rose 1% in QoQ in Q1 against 0.8% forecast, providing extra legs to the Australian Dollar upside. 

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY hangs near 34-year high at 154.88 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY hangs near 34-year high at 154.88 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is sitting at a multi-decade high of 154.88 reached on Tuesday. Traders refrain from placing fresh bets on the pair as Japan's FX intervention risks loom. Broad US Dollar weakness also caps the upside in the major. US Durable Goods data are next on tap. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold price cautious despite weaker US Dollar and falling US yields

Gold retreats modestly after failing to sustain gains despite fall in US Treasury yields, weaker US Dollar. XAU/USD struggles to capitalize following release of weaker-than-expected S&P Global PMIs, fueling speculation about potential Fed rate cuts.

Gold News

Ethereum ETF issuers not giving up fight, expert says as Grayscale files S3 prospectus

Ethereum ETF issuers not giving up fight, expert says as Grayscale files S3 prospectus

Ethereum exchange-traded funds theme gained steam after the landmark approval of multiple BTC ETFs in January. However, the campaign for approval of this investment alternative continues, with evidence of ongoing back and forth between prospective issuers and the US SEC.

Read more

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Fed might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures