|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Grinds lower towards 0.6240 support

  • AUD/USD fades bounce off weekly support line inside 1.5-month-old bearish channel.
  • Firmer oscillators defend buyers during the first weekly gain in six, 21-DMA adds to the upside filters.
  • Yearly low, 21-DMA act as additional trading filters.

AUD/USD prints mild losses while renewing its intraday low near 0.6265 during early Friday. In doing so, the Aussie pair retreats towards the one-week-old support line, after bouncing off the same on Thursday. Also keeping sellers hopeful is a downward-slopping trend channel established since September 07.

However, the recently bullish MACD signals, the first since mid-August, join nearly oversold RSI to challenge the AUD/USD pair’s downside past the aforementioned support line, around 0.6240 by the press time.

Even if the quote drops below 0.6240, the 0.6200 threshold and the yearly low of 0.6170 will act as extra challenges for the AUD/USD bears.

In a case where AUD/USD remains bearish past 0.6170, the aforementioned channel’s support line, close to 0.6050 at the latest, will be in focus during the south-run targeting the 0.6000 psychological magnet and April 2020 low near 0.5980.

Alternatively, recovery moves not only need to defy the bearish chart formation by crossing the 0.6305 immediate resistance but should also provide a daily closing beyond the 21-DMA of 0.6375 to convince buyers.

Following that, a run-up toward the monthly high of 0.6540 becomes imminent. It should be noted that the early September swing low near 0.6700 could lure the AUD/USD bulls past 0.6540.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Gradual recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6272
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.14%
Today daily open0.6281
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6381
Daily SMA500.6654
Daily SMA1000.6798
Daily SMA2000.7014
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6356
Previous Daily Low0.6228
Previous Weekly High0.638
Previous Weekly Low0.617
Previous Monthly High0.6916
Previous Monthly Low0.6363
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6307
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6277
Daily Pivot Point S10.6221
Daily Pivot Point S20.6161
Daily Pivot Point S30.6093
Daily Pivot Point R10.6349
Daily Pivot Point R20.6416
Daily Pivot Point R30.6476

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

When is the UK labor market report and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The UK Office for National Statistics will publish its labor market report at 07.00 GMT. GBP/USD trades in negative territory on the day in the lead up to the UK labor market data. The pair loses ground as traders turn cautious ahead of the key US economic data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales, and Purchasing Managers Index, which will be released later on Tuesday.

Gold drifts lower on profit-taking, traders await US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.