|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls eye 0.6660 resistance confluence and RBA Interest Rate Decision

  • AUD/USD grinds near the highest level in a fortnight after three-day uptrend.
  • Convergence of 50-DMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement guards immediate upside.
  • Upbeat oscillators, recovery from falling wedge’s bottom line keeps Aussie buyers hopeful.
  • RBA is expected to keep current monetary policy unchanged amid market’s indecision.

AUD/USD bulls take a breather around 0.6620, making rounds to a two-week high amid Tuesday’s sluggish session as Aussie pair traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Interest Rate Decision. In doing so, the quote remains sidelined after rising in the last three consecutive days, following a bounce off the yearly falling wedge’s bottom line.

Also read: Reserve Bank of Australia Preview: AUD/USD ready for another hike?

The Aussie pair’s rebound from the support line of a falling wedge established since late December 2022 crossed 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside and teased the buyers in the last few days. Adding strength to the upside momentum are the recently bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line to keep buyers hopeful.

With this, the AUD/USD pair is all set to confront a convergence of the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-DMA, around 0.6660. However, any further upside beyond the same hinges on the RBA’s capacity to lure the bulls.

Following that, the aforementioned falling wedge bullish chart pattern’s top line, close to 0.6730 at the latest, becomes crucial to watch for clear directions.

Should the quote rises past 0.6730, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards crossing the previous monthly high of around 0.6720 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, pullback moves may initially aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, close to 0.6545 at the latest.

However, the AUDUSD bears need validation from the wedge’s bottom line, surrounding 0.6495 by the press time.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6619
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.14%
Today daily open0.661
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6626
Daily SMA500.6664
Daily SMA1000.6755
Daily SMA2000.6695
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6639
Previous Daily Low0.6565
Previous Weekly High0.6639
Previous Weekly Low0.6458
Previous Monthly High0.6818
Previous Monthly Low0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6611
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6593
Daily Pivot Point S10.6571
Daily Pivot Point S20.6531
Daily Pivot Point S30.6497
Daily Pivot Point R10.6644
Daily Pivot Point R20.6678
Daily Pivot Point R30.6718

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Daily gains remain capped by 1.3650

GBP/USD leaves behind Monday’s pessimism and advances marginally on Tuesday. Cable’s humble gains, however, appear to have met quite a decent resistance in the 1.3650 zone for now, in a context of a slight selling pressure hovering around the Greenback.

EUR/USD struggles to regain pace; gyrates around 1.1670

EUR/USD clinches humble gains around 1.1670 following Tuesday’s close on Wall Street. Indeed, marginal losses in the US Dollar encourages spot to set aside two dauly pullbacks in a row and maintain the 1.1700 barrier on the cross-hairs for now. Moving forward, US inflation tracked by the PCE and another revision of Q2 GDP data should keep investors entertained on Wednesday.

Gold steadies near $4,650, eyes multi-month high ahead of US PCE

Gold stabilizes around $4,650 after the previous day's two-way swings as traders await the US PCE data, due later this Wednesday, for cues about the Fed's policy path. The outlook will drive the US Dollar and the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal, weak oil prices, sliding US bond yields and diminishing odds of an immediate tightening by the Fed undermine the USD. This keeps the precious metal close to its highest level since May 14, set on Tuesday.

Australia CPI expected to show inflation easing in July
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will publish the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT. The report is expected to show that inflation rose 3.2% from a year earlier, easing from the 3.8% posted in June. The monthly CPI, however, is forecast at 0.8% following the -0.1% print from the previous month.
Canada hits US goods with tariffs; The rate market sees a problem
On September 8, Canada begins charging its own importers 15%, 25% and 50% on roughly 700 lines of American goods. The measure is billed as dollar for dollar, and on the arithmetic of covered trade it is. What it is not is a tax on the United States.
Canada hits US goods with tariffs; The rate market sees a problem
On September 8, Canada begins charging its own importers 15%, 25% and 50% on roughly 700 lines of American goods. The measure is billed as dollar for dollar, and on the arithmetic of covered trade it is. What it is not is a tax on the United States.