|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls run into a wall of resistance, bears eye downside breakout

  • AUD/USD bears are in the market but bulls are flexing. 
  • The bulls need to get over the line, or face seller commitments below trendline resistance. 

The Australian dollar fell below 0.65 the figure and is hovering around the worst levels in over six months growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve would raise interest rates further. The Aussie was also weighed by poor China data. This leaves the technical outlook in question as the price remains on the front side of the bearish trend as the following will illustrate. 

AUD/USD H4 chart

The price is trying to correct within a broadly bearish environment. So far, 0.6500 is holding as resistance.

AUD/USD H1 charts

The bears could be interested at this juncture given the premium they will collect in selling higher while in the front side of the bearish market.

The W-formation is a compelling feature on the hourly chart. This is a reversion pattern and the price would be expected to come back into the neckline in due course. This area could act as a support and lead to an onward bullish impulse to retest recent highs and resistance. However, a break of the neckline and then the lows will likely lead to a downward continuation in line with the bearish trend. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.