|

AUD/USD lacks strength for a decisive move above 0.6680 despite hawkish RBA commentary

  • AUD/USD has sensed stiff resistance around 0.6680 despite the RBA being open for further interest rate hikes.
  • Australian Q1GDP missed estimates as higher interest rates are impacting the overall growth.
  • US Goods and Trade Balance are expected to show a wider deficit of $75.2B vs. the prior deficit of $64.2B.

The AUD/USD pair is consistently failing to climb above the immediate resistance of 0.6680 in the European session. The Aussie asset is not getting the required strength despite a hawkish commentary came from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

On Tuesday, RBA Governor Philip Lower raised its Official Cash Rate (OCR) surprisingly by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10%. RBA’s Lowe cited that despite Australian inflation having peaked now but is extremely far from the desired rate. Therefore, RBA’s Lowe announced that more interest rate hikes are appropriate to keep pressure on inflation.

Investors should note that the monthly Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) rebounded to 6.8% in April from the 6.4% figure recorded for March.

In the Asian session, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported weaker-than-anticipated Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Quarterly GDP was expanded by 0.2% while the street was anticipating an expansion of 0.3%, which was revised lower from the prior print of 0.6%. On an annual basis, Q1 GDP dropped to 2.3% vs. the estimates of 2.4% and the former release of 2.6%.

Post the release of Australia’s Q1 GDP data, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said that “rising interest rates are clearly impacting the economic growth,” He further added, “Growth momentum is waning,”

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures have surrendered gains generated in Asia, portraying a decline in the risk appetite of the market participants. The USD Index has extended its recovery to near 104.26 despite the street being mixed about Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy stance for June monetary policy.

Going forward, United States Goods and Services Trade Balance (April) will remain in focus. The economic data is expected to show a wider deficit of $75.2B vs. the prior deficit of $64.2B.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6667
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open0.6672
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6613
Daily SMA500.6662
Daily SMA1000.6748
Daily SMA2000.6692
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6685
Previous Daily Low0.661
Previous Weekly High0.6639
Previous Weekly Low0.6458
Previous Monthly High0.6818
Previous Monthly Low0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6656
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6639
Daily Pivot Point S10.6626
Daily Pivot Point S20.658
Daily Pivot Point S30.655
Daily Pivot Point R10.6702
Daily Pivot Point R20.6731
Daily Pivot Point R30.6777

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).