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AUD/USD keeps losses after above-forecast China trade surplus

  • AUD/USD is not impressed by a better-than-expected China trade surplus. 
  • The drop in imports indicates a weakness in domestic demand. 
  • The AUD may pick up a bid on hawkish comments by Westpac's head.  

A better-than-expected China trade balance is struggling to put a bid under the Aussie Dollar – a G-7 proxy for China. 

The nation's trade balance widened to $42.81 billion in October, bettering the estimate of $40.10 billion. Imports fell 6.4% year-on-year in USD terms and by 0.4% in CNY terms. Meanwhile, exports or outbound shipments fell 0.9% in USD terms but rose 4.9% in CNY terms. 

While trade surplus increased, the dismal performance of imports indicated weakening domestic demand is a cause for concern and could revive fears of a deeper economic slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. 

Hence, AUD's muted response to the upbeat headline is not surprising. Currently, the pair is trading at 0.6882, having added just five pips post-China data. The pair is still reporting a 0.22% drop on the day. 

The AUD, however, may pick up a bid as Westpac's boss while speaking at his six-monthly grilling before a parliamentary committee said more interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) might have a "perverse" impact on the economy. 

The RBA's statement of monetary policy released earlier today also said that further easing might convey an overtly negative view on the economy. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6884
Today Daily Change-0.0016
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open0.69
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6847
Daily SMA500.681
Daily SMA1000.685
Daily SMA2000.6949
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6914
Previous Daily Low0.6861
Previous Weekly High0.693
Previous Weekly Low0.681
Previous Monthly High0.693
Previous Monthly Low0.667
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6894
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6881
Daily Pivot Point S10.6869
Daily Pivot Point S20.6839
Daily Pivot Point S30.6816
Daily Pivot Point R10.6922
Daily Pivot Point R20.6945
Daily Pivot Point R30.6975

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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