|

AUD/USD hovers near 0.6600 as markets await Aussie’s Business, Consumer Confidence data

  • AUD/USD up due to better sentiment, USD dip amid mixed Wall Street results.
  • US inflation steady; Fed's positive economy outlook influences currencies.
  • US inflation, Australian consumer confidence data critical for economic assessment.

The Australian Dollar posted solid gains on Monday, rising 0.42% against the US Dollar amid an improvement in risk appetite and a light economic calendar. The AUD/USD pair trades at 0.6604, virtually flat, as Tuesday’s Asian session begins.

AUD/USD sees a modest uptick after gaining on Monday, ahead of US CPI

Wall Street’s session concluded with a mixed bag of results. While the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones registered losses, the Nasdaq Composite saw a rise. This divergence was accompanied by a 0.16% decline in the Greenback, as indicated by the US Dollar Index (DXY), which stands at 104.12.

The US economic docket was light, except for the New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations for March, rising by 3%, unchanged compared to February’s data. Chicago’s Fed President Austan Goolsbee began the Fed parade on Monday, saying that the economy is on golden path, while emphasizing the economy remains strong due to a tight labor market.

US and Aussie economic data

In the meantime, traders are awaiting the latest inflation report in the United States (US), to have a better grasp of the disinflation process. If prices continue to trend lower, that would be negative for the buck and positive for risk-perceived assets, like the Aussie Dollar.

On Australia’s front, market players would be entertained by the Westpac Consumer Confidence and the NAB Business Confidence, both figures from March.

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

On Monday, the AUD/USD had risen above a downslope resistance trendline at around the 0.6580/90 area, which opened the door for buyers to reclaim 0.6600. They’re gathering momentum, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), aiming north, with enough room to enter overbought conditions. If the pair surpasses the April 4 high of 0.6619, the next stop would be intermediate resistance at 0.634, the March 21 high ahead of March 8, and the latest higher high at 0.6667.

On the other hand, the AUD/USD first support would be the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 0.6600. A breach of the latter will expose the April 5 low of 0.6549, followed by the confluence of the 50/200-DMA at 0.6543.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6604
Today Daily Change0.0026
Today Daily Change %0.40
Today daily open0.6578
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6556
Daily SMA500.6545
Daily SMA1000.6603
Daily SMA2000.6545
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6594
Previous Daily Low0.6549
Previous Weekly High0.6619
Previous Weekly Low0.6481
Previous Monthly High0.6667
Previous Monthly Low0.6478
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6566
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6577
Daily Pivot Point S10.6554
Daily Pivot Point S20.6529
Daily Pivot Point S30.6509
Daily Pivot Point R10.6598
Daily Pivot Point R20.6618
Daily Pivot Point R30.6643

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1750 on US Dollar rebound, Fed rate-cut expectations could cap losses

The EUR/USD pair retreats from a 10-week high to near 1.1735 during the early European session on Friday, pressured by a modest rebound in the US Dollar.  The potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the prospect of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts next year. The final reading of the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices will be released later on Friday. 

When are the UK data releases and how could they affect GBP/USD?

The United Kingdom economic docket features the monthly Gross Domestic Product print for October and Industrial Production figures, to be published by the Office for National Statistics this Thursday at 07:00 GMT.

Gold retreats from multi-week top amid risk-on mood; downside seems limited

Gold edges lower during the Asian session on Friday and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains, snapping a three-day winning streak to the $4,285-4,286 region, or the highest level since October 21. The prevalent risk-on environment – as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets – is seen undermining demand for the safe-haven precious metal. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum eyes breakout, Ripple steadies at support

Bitcoin and Ethereum are nearing the key resistance levels at the time of writing on Friday, and a successful breakout could open the door for a fresh rally. Meanwhile, Ripple is stabilizing around a crucial support zone, hinting at a potential rebound if buyers maintain control.

FOMC Summary: A split cut and a clear shift toward caution

The Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with a 25 basis points rate cut, taking the target range to 3.50–3.75%. But the tone around the decision mattered just as much as the move.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.