|

AUD/USD flirting with lows near 0.7700 handle

The AUD/USD pair extended previous session's retracement from yearly tops and is now flirting with the 0.7700 handle.

Spot came under some renewed selling pressure on Tuesday after the RBA minutes highlighted the central bank's concern on highly indebted households, while also raising alarm on build up of risks associated with the housing market. 

RBA Minutes: Little labour cost pressure in the economy - ANZ

Also collaborating to the bearish sentiment surrounding the major was heavy selling pressure around copper prices, which was seen weighing on the commodity-linked currencies, including the Aussie. 

Meanwhile, a subdued US Dollar price action did little to drive the pair's movement, albeit seems to have helped the pair to defend the 0.7700 handle, at least for the time being.

Later during the day, comments from the New York President William Dudley would be looked upon for some fresh impetus ahead of the US economic docket featuring the release of current account deficit.

Technical levels to watch

Weakness below the 0.7700 handle is likely to find support at 0.7675 horizontal level, which if broken is likely to accelerate the slide towards 50-day SMA support near 0.7610 region before the pair eventually drops to the very important 200-day SMA support near 0.7545-40 area.

On the upside, momentum above 0.7730 level is likely to confront resistance near mid-0.7700s, which if conquered sets the stage for continuation of the pair's near-term upward trajectory towards reclaiming the 0.7800 handle.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 0.7722
100.0%70.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 20% Bearish
  • 30% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 0.7588
100.0%85.0%20.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 20% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 15% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 0.7503
100.0%80.0%10.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 10% Bullish
  • 70% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.