|

AUD/USD drops to fresh weekly lows below 0.7500 on dovish RBA

  • AUD/USD sold-off into RBA’s dovishness despite opening doors to rate hikes.
  • Pre-Fed anxiety weighs on global stocks, souring the market mood.
  • A broadly subdued US dollar keeps the aussie’s downside cushioned.

AUD/USD is consolidating the steep losses near weekly lows of 0.7470, as the sentiment around the Australian dollar was hurt by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision.

Succumbing to the global policy unwinding pressure and rising inflation fears, the Australian central bank abandoned its 2024 April bond yield target at 0.1% while keeping the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at a record low of 0.1%.

Although the decision may appear hawkish, the central bank Governor Phillip Lowe tried his best to keep the doves happy. Lowe said, it was still “likely to take some time” for inflation to sustainably return to its target, which knocked off the short-term Australian government bond yields, reflective of the easing bets for aggressive tightening.

The aussie dollar bore the brunt of the falling short-term yields and dropped sharply against the US dollar. The divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Fed and RBA is back in play, exerting downward pressure on the major.

Meanwhile, the US dollar licks its wounds after Monday’s decline, as investors reposition their USD bets ahead of the critical US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting, commencing later on Tuesday. The Fed is widely expected to announce tapering at its November meeting and could hint at sooner than expected rate hikes to counter the inflationary risks.

In the meantime, investors will continue weighing in the RBA decision while closely following the risk trends amid a data-light US docket.

AUD/USD technical levels to consider

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7474
Today Daily Change-0.0050
Today Daily Change %-0.66
Today daily open0.7525
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7426
Daily SMA500.7354
Daily SMA1000.7387
Daily SMA2000.7557
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7537
Previous Daily Low0.7485
Previous Weekly High0.7557
Previous Weekly Low0.7463
Previous Monthly High0.7557
Previous Monthly Low0.7191
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7517
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7505
Daily Pivot Point S10.7494
Daily Pivot Point S20.7464
Daily Pivot Point S30.7442
Daily Pivot Point R10.7546
Daily Pivot Point R20.7568
Daily Pivot Point R30.7598

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD retreats after reaching a three-week high above 1.3430, challenging the 1.3400 yardstick on Thursday. Although easing political uncertainty in the UK helps the quid limit its downside, escalating tensions in the Middle East support the Greenback, keeping Cable under scrutiny.

EUR/USD faces resistance around 1.1450

EUR/USD keeps the bid bias although it seems to have met a tough hurdle around 1.1450 on Thursday. The pair’s advance follows the bearish tone in the US Dollar despite escalating tensions in the Middle East and a broad-based cautious stance from market participants.

Gold flirts with two-day highs, approaches $4,130

Gold stages a modest rebound on Thursday, setting aside a three-day losing streak and managing to surpass the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. However, steady geopolitical tensions have revived concerns over persistently high global inflation, reinforcing expectations of higher rates across the board and somewhat curtailing the yellow metal’s upside potential.

Bitcoin stalls as mixed ETF flows, renewed US-Iran tensions cap upside

Bitcoin trades at $63,000 on Thursday, recovering slightly after facing rejection near $64,000. Renewed geopolitical uncertainty has dampened risk appetite, limiting BTC upside potential.

Japan may be changing its Yen strategy, but markets don’t look scared
Japan may be changing its intervention playbook, but that might not be enough to rescue the battered Yen. With USD/JPY hovering at four-decade highs, the currency’s weakness is being driven less by speculative pressure and more by a powerful structural force: the wide US-Japan rate gap.
Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Federal Reserve to the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance.