|

AUD/USD crosses 0.7700 despite mixed China PMI data

  • AUD/USD rises to the fresh high since April 2018 following China’s NBS PMI data.
  • The headline Manufacturing PMI eased to 51.9 but Non-Manufacturing PMI jumped to a three-month high of 55.7.
  • Risk-tone remains positive tracking Wall Street gains and Brexit deal passage amid a light calendar.
  • US stimulus, virus updates are the key before the year ends.

AUD/USD jumps to the highest in 32 months while flashing 0.7706 top during early Thursday. In doing so, the Aussie pair cheered upbeat risk-on mood while also taking positive clues from the mixed readings of China’s official Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) for December.

As per the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China, December’s Manufacturing PMI eased from 52.4 prior and 52.0 forecast to 51.9 while the Non-Manufacturing PMI rose past-52.4 forecast and 56.4 previous readouts to 55.7.

Read: China NBS Manufacturing PMI eases to 51.9 in December, AUD/USD crosses 0.7700

Other than the mixed data from the biggest customer, AUD/USD buyers also cheer US dollar weakness and the mild risk-on sentiment. The US dollar index (DXY) dropped to the fresh low since April 2018 the previous, currently down 0.05% around 89.57, as policymakers struggled to pass $2,000 paychecks while the coronavirus (COVID-19) woes regain traction at home.

On the contrary, global markets expect the stimulus to roll out sooner as Joe Biden is up for taking the White House in January. Also favoring the risks could be the covid vaccine developments.

Meanwhile, the latest news that the US sent two bombers to the Middle East and two guided missiles to the Taiwan Strait challenges the risks. Further, chatters that Sydney is up for extra activity restrictions due to the latest virus resurgence also probe the AUD/USD buyers amid a light calendar.

That said, S&P 500 Futures print 0.10% gains while Australia’s ASX 200 drop 0.64% by press time.

Looking forward, a lack of major data/events and the New Year Eve holidays in multiple markets will keep challenging the AUD/USD moves. However, the bulls are likely to keep the rein by the end of 2020.

Technical analysis

Having successfully breached the 32-month top of 0.7675, AUD/USD is ready to challenge April 2018 peak surrounding 0.7815. Meanwhile, any downside below December 17 top near 0.7640 can probe the bulls for a short-term.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7701
Today Daily Change25 pips
Today Daily Change %0.33%
Today daily open0.7676
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7543
Daily SMA500.7362
Daily SMA1000.7281
Daily SMA2000.6997
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7687
Previous Daily Low0.7602
Previous Weekly High0.7619
Previous Weekly Low0.7461
Previous Monthly High0.7438
Previous Monthly Low0.699
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7654
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7634
Daily Pivot Point S10.7623
Daily Pivot Point S20.7569
Daily Pivot Point S30.7537
Daily Pivot Point R10.7708
Daily Pivot Point R20.774
Daily Pivot Point R30.7794

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to small gains near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but failed to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 after German ZEW

EUR/USD is keeping its range above 1.1400 in Tuesday's European session, as the US Dollar (USD) retreats following Monday's rebound. Nevertheless, the uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict limits the pair's upside. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) pays little heed to the strong German sentiment data, as traders await Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcements, which could drive the Euro's near-term valuation.

Gold extends recovery toward $4,100

Gold gains traction following Monday's choppy action and advances toward $4,100 on Tuesday. However, the uncertainty surrounding the conflict in the Middle East and growing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook could make it difficult for the precious metal to gather bullish momentum in the near term.

Bitcoin extends advance as ETF inflows, Iran war mediators' proposal lift risk mood

Bitcoin extends its gains, trading above $65,800 after closing above the key technical hurdle the previous day. The bullish price action is further supported by the return of institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds continuing their inflows on Monday. In addition, the renewed hopes for peace between the US and Iran have lifted risk sentiment, providing an additional tailwind for the Crypto King.

Buy the dip on the Dow Jones and S&P? Forex Trading Gold descending triangle

Trading during a war, a pandemic, during trade disputes, and other geopolitical events, especially when some major players are sociopathic, can be quite challenging. The Iran war is no exception. The Iran war is no exception.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.