AUD/USD bulls seek acceptance beyond 0.6700 as Fed Minutes weigh on US Dollar


  • AUD/USD picks up bids to reverse the pullback from weekly high.
  • Softer US data, FOMC Minutes triggered weighed on the US Dollar, cautious optimism also favored Aussie pair bulls.
  • Downbeat PMIs from Australia, China’s Covid woes gained little attention.
  • Thanksgiving holiday, light calendar can allow buyers to take a breather.

AUD/USD remains on the buyer's radar despite the latest inaction around 0.6730-40 during Thursday’s Asian session. The reason could be linked to the broad-based US Dollar selling and the market’s cautious optimism.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped the most in a fortnight the previous day after the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes signaled that the policymakers discussed the need of slowing down the interest rate hikes. Additionally weighing on the Greenback were chatters over the “sufficiently restrictive” level of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rates, as indicated in the Fed Minutes.

It should be noted that the softer US PMIs for November and strong Jobless Claims figures also acted as a negative catalyst for the AUD/USD pair. The preliminary readings of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for November eased to 47.6 from 50.0 expected and 50.4 prior whereas the Services PMI also followed the suit while declining to 46.1 compared to 47.9 market forecasts and 47.8 previous readings. Overall, the S&P Global Composite PMI for November dropped to 46.3 versus 47.7 expected and 48.2 prior readouts.

That said, the United States Weekly Jobless Claims rose the most since June, to 240K versus 225K expected and 223K prior, which in turn favored the sentiment and drowned the US Dollar.

Alternatively, strong prints of the US Durable Goods Orders, up 1.0% in October versus 0.4% marked expectations and downwardly revised 0.3% prior, joined China’s covid woes and downbeat prints of Australia’s S&P Global PMIs for November to challenge the AUD/USD bulls. However, the market’s concentration on the Fed Minutes and hopes of overcoming the Coronavirus woes appeared to have favored the Aussie pair buyers.

Amid these plays, Wall Street closed in the positive territory while the US Treasury yields were downbeat and drowned the US Dollar.

Moving on, an absence of major data/events and a holiday in the US could allow the AUD/USD pair to consolidate some of its latest gains. On the same line could be the COVID-19 fears emanating from China and dovish bias at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). However, the bulls are likely to keep the reins amid the receding hopes of the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes.

Technical analysis

A clear upside break of the 100-SMA and a one-week-old descending trend line, respectively near 0.6695 and 0.6590, keep the AUD/USD pair buyers directed toward the monthly high surrounding 0.6800.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.6738
Today Daily Change 0.0092
Today Daily Change % 1.38%
Today daily open 0.6646
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6541
Daily SMA50 0.6487
Daily SMA100 0.6691
Daily SMA200 0.6942
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6652
Previous Daily Low 0.6596
Previous Weekly High 0.6798
Previous Weekly Low 0.6634
Previous Monthly High 0.6548
Previous Monthly Low 0.617
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.663
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6618
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6611
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6576
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6556
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6666
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6686
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6721

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures