AUD/USD bid around 0.6870, bulls need progress soon

  • AUD/USD is bid around 0.6870 but remains below key Fibonacci level of 0.6880.
  • Charts show signs of bullish exhaustion above 0.6880.

AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.6870, representing moderate gains on the day, having hit a low of 0.6859 earlier today. 

The Australian currency has recovered sharply from lows below 0.67 in the last few days as China's rate cut eased pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to do more and the fading US-China trade tensions boosted risk sentiment

China on Wednesday published its first batch of tariff exemptions for 16 types of US products. In response, the US President Trump delayed a scheduled tariff hike on $250 billions worth of Chinese goods by two weeks to Oct. 15.

Stuck at 50% Fib

The rally has stalled at 0.6680, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the drop from 0.7082 to 0.6677. 

The pair clocked highs above 0.6680 but failed to close above that level in the last two days. Notably, Wednesday's candle was a Doji and Thursday's candle had a long upper wick, both signaling bullish exhaustion. 

So, a quick sustained move above 0.6680 is needed to keep the bullish bias intact. Another rejection above the 50% Fib level could yield a correction, possibly to levels below 0.6850. 

Technical levels


Today last price 0.687
Today Daily Change 0.0005
Today Daily Change % 0.07
Today daily open 0.6865
Daily SMA20 0.6786
Daily SMA50 0.6855
Daily SMA100 0.6906
Daily SMA200 0.7015
Previous Daily High 0.6895
Previous Daily Low 0.6848
Previous Weekly High 0.6862
Previous Weekly Low 0.6687
Previous Monthly High 0.6869
Previous Monthly Low 0.6676
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6877
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6866
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6844
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6822
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6797
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6891
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6916
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6938



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