|

AUD/NZD Price Analysis: The bulls are stepping in before next bearish impulse

  • AUD/NZD is correcting towards a deep daily 61.8% Fibonacci confluence resistance area.
  • The 4-hour conditions are reflecting the bid in AUD and the offer in NZD vs the US dollar.  

As per the prior analysisNZD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls defending the 38.2% Fibo support, the kiwi has been a firm contender in the past week so far but the support is back under pressure following the anticipated surge to the upside:

Prior analysis, NZD/USD, 1-hour chart

So far, there is strong resistance on bullish attempts, but the price is holding at a 38.2% Fibonacci confluence that meets prior resistance structure looking left.

The bulls can continue to monitor for bullish price action and structure on a lower time frame for an optimal entry:

30-min chart

Live 1-hour market, take profit achieved

As illustrated in the hourly chart above, the price went on to make a higher high.

However, the price has since melted back to support and is consolidating the recent volatility

When looking across to the Aussie, there are prospects of an upside correction as follows:

4-hour chart

The M-formation is a bullish pattern that would expect to draw in the bids to test the prior lows and to at least a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the range of prior downside's impulse. 

There is also a confluence of the 21-EMA. 

This means that there are prospects of a bid in AUD/NZD with NZD/USD already in decline on the 1 and 4-hour charts:

1-hour chart

4-hour chart

AUD/NZD 4-hour chart

As illustrated, the price is on the verge of an upside correction to test old support and the confluence with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. 

According to the daily chart, there are prospects of an even deeper correction:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD onsolidates around mid-1.1800s as traders keenly await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.1800 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and consolidates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.1800s, nearly unchanged for the day.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold bounces back toward $4,900, looks to FOMC Minutes

Gold is attempting a bounce from the $4,850 level, having touched a one-week low on Tuesday. Signs of progress in US–Iran talks dented demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion, weighing on Gold in early trades. However, rising bets for more Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now seem reluctant ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which would offer cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and provide some meaningful impetus.

DeFi could lift crypto market from current bear phase: Bitwise

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan hinted that the decentralized finance sector could lead the crypto market out of the current bear phase, citing Aave Labs’ latest community proposal as a potential signal of good things to come.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.