|

AUD/NZD drops to 1.0850 despite RBA status quo, Country Garden news

  • AUD/NZD remains pressured at one-week low despite RBA’s inaction, risk-positive China updates.
  • RBA keeps benchmark rates unchanged at 4.1%, shows readiness for rate hikes to tame inflation.
  • China’s Country Garden managed to avoid default by paying $22.5 million US bond coupons.
  • Softer China PMI contrasts with Beijing’s efforts to defend economic recovery and prods pair sellers.

AUD/NZD takes offers to refresh intraday low around 1.0850 even after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) matches market forecasts of keeping the benchmark rates unchanged on early Tuesday.

That said, the Aussie central bank keeps the benchmark rate intact at 4.1% but shows readiness to lift the rates as and when necessary to tame the inflation woes.

Not only the RBA’s status quo but headlines from China, a major customer for Australia and New Zealand, also should have put a floor under the AUD/NZD prices but were largely ignored.

That said, China’s biggest reality player Country Garden manages to avoid default by paying $22.5 million US bond interest. It’s worth noting that the Chinese real-estate giant won approval from onshore creditors to extend a private bond payment worth CNY3.9 billion ($536 million).

Elsewhere, China’s Commerce Ministry pledged to support the qualified enterprises to make good use of domestic and overseas listing, as well as bond issuance. On Monday, China’s readiness for opening up the services industry, as well as developments of the manufacturing activities, joined a slew of measures to cut mortgage rates and infuse more liquidity to keep the Asia-Pacific markets hopeful.

It should be noted that upbeat prints of Australia’s S&P Global Composite PMI and Services PMI, to 48.0 and 47.8 versus 47.1 and 46.7 respective priors, also occupy the positive side and prods the AUD/NZD bears.

Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 Futures print mild losses around 4,515, down 0.15% intraday after reversing from a one-month high the previous day, while the US 10-year Treasury bond yields rose two basis points (bps) to 4.20% after the US holiday-driven inaction.

Looking forward, Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter (Q2) of 2023 and a speech from the outgoing RBA Governor Philip Lowe will be important for clear directions.

Technical analysis

A one-month-old rising wedge bearish chart pattern, currently between 1.0840 and 1.0900, keeps the AUD/NZD sellers hopeful.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.086
Today Daily Change-0.0020
Today Daily Change %-0.18%
Today daily open1.088
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0837
Daily SMA501.0824
Daily SMA1001.082
Daily SMA2001.0804
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0883
Previous Daily Low1.0844
Previous Weekly High1.0897
Previous Weekly Low1.0833
Previous Monthly High1.0897
Previous Monthly Low1.0732
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0868
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0859
Daily Pivot Point S11.0855
Daily Pivot Point S21.083
Daily Pivot Point S31.0816
Daily Pivot Point R11.0894
Daily Pivot Point R21.0908
Daily Pivot Point R31.0933

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.